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Old 05-04-2016, 08:26 PM
 
69,368 posts, read 64,191,991 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Serious Conversation View Post
I'd say Trump will win the national popular vote by five to ten points.
Good estimate but I think he'll lose the electorial vote..

 
Old 05-04-2016, 08:37 PM
 
Location: Somewhere
8,069 posts, read 6,984,217 times
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Get real Trumpettes. The only thing Trump is gonna win is more enemies.

Trump is not gonna win the popular or vote or the electoral vote.

Looking to November: Clinton leads Trump by double-digits in new poll
 
Old 05-04-2016, 08:49 PM
 
33,387 posts, read 34,891,844 times
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the RCP has clinton over trump right now by 6.5;

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

but again the real general election has not yet begun, and the poll numbers will narrow as the general election cycle moves along and gets closer to election day.
 
Old 05-04-2016, 09:13 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by rbohm View Post
the RCP has clinton over trump right now by 6.5;

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

but again the real general election has not yet begun, and the poll numbers will narrow as the general election cycle moves along and gets closer to election day.
Doubtful. General election polls by mid-April have been correct 2/3 of the time since 1952, we are now into May. Also, Hillary should be up at least another point but that phony Rasmussen poll dropped her down.
 
Old 05-04-2016, 09:23 PM
 
Location: Pasadena, CA
9,828 posts, read 9,433,423 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dexter75 View Post
Doubtful. General election polls by mid-April have been correct 2/3 of the time since 1952, we are now into May. Also, Hillary should be up at least another point but that phony Rasmussen poll dropped her down.
It was two dubious polls, one that showed a draw and then another released just days later that has Trump leading.

They will single-handedly keep Gump competitive.
 
Old 05-04-2016, 09:36 PM
 
Location: N Atlanta
4,584 posts, read 4,206,757 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dexter75 View Post
Doubtful. General election polls by mid-April have been correct 2/3 of the time since 1952, we are now into May. Also, Hillary should be up at least another point but that phony Rasmussen poll dropped her down.
What happened the other 1/3 of the time ? And do you know where Ted Cruz is ?
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