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In the latest American Research Group poll, Obama shot up 20 points in February, from 27% to 47%, for the pick for the National democratic candidate. Hillary fell a bit from 47 to 45% :
Yeah, that doesn't surprise me. He's on a roll right now and his followers are very energized. I've not seen anyone on the Democratic side generate this kind of enthusiasm since John Kennedy (though in Clinton's first run he was close). I wouldn't entirely rule Hillary out yet (nor urge her or her supporters to bow out) but I have to say that I do expect Obama to get the nomination (and the Presidency).
In the latest American Research Group poll, Obama shot up 20 points in February, from 27% to 47%, for the pick for the National democratic candidate. Hillary fell a bit from 47 to 45% :
The Wisconsin poll showing Hillary leading is from Feb 6 to 7, before the Potomac primaries. The latest Wisconsin polls now show Obama in the lead.
The Texas poll - if accurate - shows a major reversal in Obama's favor. This can't be good news for Hillary. Remember that Hillary has to win BIG in Texas....as in 60% to 40%..... to put her back on track. If Obama scores a tie in Texas, the race would be effectively over.
I was telling people that austin and dallas would help obama in texas. Even houston might vote for obama over hillary. Her best shot is pennsylvania really. Ohio is going to be a tight race also. None of the states in the democractic election are winner take all. That means hillary has to win tx, ohio, and penn by 60 to 40 or 65 to 35.
And what happens after Obama has a miserable 4 years in office? Does McCain come back and beat him in 2012? Or will it be Huckabee?
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