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Old 02-15-2008, 11:11 AM
 
Location: Grand Rapids Metro
8,885 posts, read 18,497,154 times
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In the latest American Research Group poll, Obama shot up 20 points in February, from 27% to 47%, for the pick for the National democratic candidate. Hillary fell a bit from 47 to 45% :

American Research Group
(third poll down)

He essentially picked up all of Edwards' supporters, plus a few undecideds. Momentum.

Obama also now leads in Texas, 48 to 42. Obama trails in Wisconsin, 50 to 41.

Of course, we all know how polls go.

Last edited by magellan; 02-15-2008 at 11:22 AM..
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Old 02-15-2008, 11:27 AM
 
Location: SE Arizona - FINALLY! :D
20,460 posts, read 24,526,700 times
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Yeah, that doesn't surprise me. He's on a roll right now and his followers are very energized. I've not seen anyone on the Democratic side generate this kind of enthusiasm since John Kennedy (though in Clinton's first run he was close). I wouldn't entirely rule Hillary out yet (nor urge her or her supporters to bow out) but I have to say that I do expect Obama to get the nomination (and the Presidency).

Ken
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Old 02-15-2008, 11:27 AM
 
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Onwards and upwards! It is going to be a tight race in Texas!
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Old 02-15-2008, 11:31 AM
 
Location: Washington state
7,208 posts, read 8,844,667 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by magellan View Post
In the latest American Research Group poll, Obama shot up 20 points in February, from 27% to 47%, for the pick for the National democratic candidate. Hillary fell a bit from 47 to 45% :

American Research Group
(third poll down)

He essentially picked up all of Edwards' supporters, plus a few undecideds. Momentum.

Obama also now leads in Texas, 48 to 42. Obama trails in Wisconsin, 50 to 41.

Of course, we all know how polls go.
That, if true, is great news about Texas.

All the other polls, taken after this one, have Obama leading in Wisc.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - Wisconsin Democratic Primary
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Old 02-15-2008, 11:44 AM
 
4,182 posts, read 6,120,804 times
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The Wisconsin poll showing Hillary leading is from Feb 6 to 7, before the Potomac primaries. The latest Wisconsin polls now show Obama in the lead.

The Texas poll - if accurate - shows a major reversal in Obama's favor. This can't be good news for Hillary. Remember that Hillary has to win BIG in Texas....as in 60% to 40%..... to put her back on track. If Obama scores a tie in Texas, the race would be effectively over.
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Old 02-15-2008, 04:56 PM
 
383 posts, read 584,946 times
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I was telling people that austin and dallas would help obama in texas. Even houston might vote for obama over hillary. Her best shot is pennsylvania really. Ohio is going to be a tight race also. None of the states in the democractic election are winner take all. That means hillary has to win tx, ohio, and penn by 60 to 40 or 65 to 35.
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Old 02-15-2008, 05:00 PM
 
605 posts, read 871,645 times
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There is absolutely no way Hillary will win by a large margin in Texas. It just won't happen.
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Old 02-16-2008, 03:42 AM
 
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And this was suppose to be one of her "firewall" states? If she loses Texas, it WILL be over for her.
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Old 02-16-2008, 04:04 AM
 
Location: Piedmont, CA
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Way to go Texas!

Never thought Id ever say that. LOL
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Old 02-16-2008, 04:16 AM
 
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And what happens after Obama has a miserable 4 years in office? Does McCain come back and beat him in 2012? Or will it be Huckabee?
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