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Old 07-30-2016, 11:38 AM
 
8,061 posts, read 4,909,190 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by banjomike View Post
The Huffington pollster is an aggregator. It takes the most recent polls and averages them, but doesn't go into the same level of detail than RCP and Nate Silver do. None of them conduct polls, and all of them aggregate all the polls that are taken from all sources.

Since parsing takes time, Huffington's averages are always faster than the others. I've been watching Pollster because of its speed.

Trump did get a bounce after the RNC convention. For a couple of days, he was 2 points ahead of Clinton last week, and during the DNC convention, was in a dead tie with Clinton. But the last two aggregations put Clinton up 1 point, then 2. The 3rd aggregation put her up to 5 in the lead, so her bounce was slower in coming, but now appears to be lasting longer than Trump's.

The Democratic convention must have achieved its intended purpose. It gave voters a brighter, more optimistic view than the dark savagery of the Republican convention, and must have caused lots of folks to think about which future they preferred.

Hope floats. Always has, always will. Trump led his party down a very dark and threatening alley where no hope exists. When a person is fearful, what does he turn to? Hope.
it comes to Fairy Presentation where we are at as a nation. Verses a realistic view and how we can move away from the Establishment.


Wages are down
We have very serious Foreign Policy issue
A candidate willfully violates all security protocols, (Private Server)


There I a story this morning about Pa. Dems going over to Trump. I Expect more defections to follow.
The unions are have been Dem. , is question and many cases support Trump. (Tran)
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Old 07-30-2016, 01:02 PM
 
9,981 posts, read 8,636,928 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mightleavenyc View Post
She's up 7% among men...yah right. Huff Post's online survey of 1000 liberals.
The picture that tells 1,000 words about Huffington Post articles:

https://twitter.com/lheron/status/73...rc=twsrc%5Etfw
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Old 07-30-2016, 01:19 PM
 
11,046 posts, read 5,307,397 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by katzpaw View Post
2016 General Election: Trump vs. Clinton - Polls - HuffPost Pollster

Leading by # percent:

Clinton +15 . Jul 29–Jul 29 RABA Research (post DNC convention)
Clinton +5 . Jul 25–Jul 29 Ipsos/Reuters (during/post DNC convention)


in the IPSOS/Reuters poll you forgot to mention that when you add Johnson and Stein, it was a TIE between Hillary and Trump.
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Old 07-30-2016, 01:44 PM
 
Location: Old Mother Idaho
29,250 posts, read 22,547,950 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nononsenseguy View Post
Huffington Post! LOL! Even if true, I don't see how Crooked Hillary can get any lasting "bounce." There was so much hatred for her at the convention. And they kept the Sanders supporters out later (according to a delegate who gave an account). This was so rigged!

Only Fox News covered the mega protest outside the convention. One anarchist set a flag on fire and caught his own clothes on fire in the process!! LOL
Just because you can't see it doesn't mean a bounce can't last. They can and do.
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Old 07-30-2016, 01:50 PM
 
17,601 posts, read 9,383,017 times
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HuffPo only polled the folks living in the Potemkin Villages.
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Old 07-30-2016, 01:53 PM
 
Location: Sonoran Desert
39,179 posts, read 51,527,491 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Hellion1999 View Post
in the IPSOS/Reuters poll you forgot to mention that when you add Johnson and Stein, it was a TIE between Hillary and Trump.
I saw that too. That was a very bizarre result - relative change in percentages. Will wait to see how it fleshes out.
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Old 07-30-2016, 01:56 PM
 
Location: Stasis
15,822 posts, read 12,520,251 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kibby View Post
HuffPo only polled the folks living in the Potemkin Villages.
HufPo didn't poll anyone. They report on other's polls, show the details of each, and also an average of the polls. You can customize the average and the chart by de-selecting and choosing only the pollsters you like.
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Old 07-30-2016, 02:07 PM
 
Location: Mount Dora, FL
3,079 posts, read 3,134,739 times
Reputation: 1577
Quote:
Originally Posted by SharpshooterTom View Post
Clinton 46
Trump 31
Johnson 7
Stein 2

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/raba-research-25020

Previous poll after the RNC had Clinton up by 5, so this is a significant bounce. However most other polls had Trump leading or at least tied last week, so probably a democrat-leaning bias to this pollster.

And I still don't know why people are obsessed with bounces if they just disappear in 2 weeks. Nevertheless she has gotten a nice bounce here which will undoubtedly propel her back into lead once again as we enter august.
I don't think their is that much of a gap in the race..Clinton is probably up by 3-5 points post DEM convention.
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Old 07-30-2016, 02:45 PM
 
17,601 posts, read 9,383,017 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by katzpaw View Post
HufPo didn't poll anyone. They report on other's polls, show the details of each, and also an average of the polls. You can customize the average and the chart by de-selecting and choosing only the pollsters you like.
Actually HuffPo is more interested in only specific questions - 3 that I could find for sure. This may shock some folks, but Polling companies get PAID for the polls they perform for those who hire them. HuffPo doesn't do the polling themselves - they hire the polling companies.

RABA did this particular Poll. It was an Internet Poll. Interesting bunch of Folks running this new company.
RABA gave Clinton a Bounce after the RNC Convention and Double the Bounce after DNC Convention.

RABA is a new Polling company from earlier this year. Expect to hear more from them polling the Potemkin Villages.
Hillary wins in all polls & with white men (!) - it doesn't get better than that.

Sorry you 'get confused'. Try reading Nate Silver, that may help. The RealClearPolitics Ave is the gold standard on averages ..... of course I don't think they do those pure Internet Polls. Nate doesn't either.

Polling 4 months out is pretty meaningless - we have a good ways to go.
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Old 07-30-2016, 02:46 PM
 
Location: Near Falls Lake
4,289 posts, read 3,215,962 times
Reputation: 4749
Huffington Post-seriously? In any event, I don't know why anyone would be concerned about polls right now as there is a long way to go. There are plently of emails to be released (Hillary), and stupid things to say (Trump).
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