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Old 07-30-2016, 10:38 AM
 
754 posts, read 488,198 times
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Clinton 46
Trump 31
Johnson 7
Stein 2

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/raba-research-25020

Previous poll after the RNC had Clinton up by 5, so this is a significant bounce. However most other polls had Trump leading or at least tied last week, so probably a democrat-leaning bias to this pollster.

And I still don't know why people are obsessed with bounces if they just disappear in 2 weeks. Nevertheless she has gotten a nice bounce here which will undoubtedly propel her back into lead once again as we enter august.
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Old 07-30-2016, 10:40 AM
 
Location: Pyongjang
5,701 posts, read 3,236,503 times
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She's up 7% among men...yah right. Huff Post's online survey of 1000 liberals.
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Old 07-30-2016, 10:51 AM
 
Location: 500 miles from home
33,942 posts, read 22,608,341 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mightleavenyc View Post
She's up 7% among men...yah right. Huff Post's online survey of 1000 liberals.
Note you only believe polls that support your candidate.

Whatev.

Karl Rove agrees with you.
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Old 07-30-2016, 10:56 AM
 
754 posts, read 488,198 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mightleavenyc View Post
She's up 7% among men...yah right. Huff Post's online survey of 1000 liberals.
Only 64% of R's supporting Trump in that poll which is also hard to believe.

Nevertheless the bounce is the key indicator to look at rather than the top line figures.

I expect she's around 5-7 points clear at most.
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Old 07-30-2016, 11:00 AM
 
Location: Stasis
15,823 posts, read 12,504,496 times
Reputation: 8599
http://huff.to/2apBNNt

Leading by # percent:

Clinton +15 . Jul 29–Jul 29 RABA Research (post DNC convention)
Clinton +5 . Jul 25–Jul 29 Ipsos/Reuters (during/post DNC convention)
Clinton +1 . Jul 26–Jul 27 Rasmussen
Clinton +2 . Jul 23–Jul 24 YouGov/Economist
Trump +1 . Jul 22–Jul 24 CBS
Trump +3 . Jul 22–Jul 24 CNN
Trump +4 . Jul 22–Jul 24 Morning Consult
Clinton +4 . Jul 21–Jul 24 University of Delaware/PSRAI (post RNC convention)
Clinton +1 . Jul 18–Jul 24 NBC/SurveyMonkey
Clinton +5 . Jul 22– Jul 22 Raba Research
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Old 07-30-2016, 11:11 AM
 
9,617 posts, read 6,085,957 times
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Who is rabaresearch? I follow the polls, though it is not an obsession. Have never ever heard of raba. I don't doubt there will be a bounce for Sec Clinton, maybe a sizable one. But having never seen these folks before, and I look at real clear politics polls a couple of times a week, I doubt this is legit. Can't even find them in the rcp poll average. Hmmm.
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Old 07-30-2016, 11:14 AM
 
1,043 posts, read 902,672 times
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In case you didn't know the Huffington Post is a hardcore liberal news source.

The real polls are coming out next week.
Lets see what happens. Not saying Hillary won't get a bounce - it'll just surprise me if she actually does.
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Old 07-30-2016, 11:17 AM
 
8,061 posts, read 4,902,890 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mightleavenyc View Post
She's up 7% among men...yah right. Huff Post's online survey of 1000 liberals.
Clinton is quickly being deflated! She is self imploding as people look closely at Clinton.
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Old 07-30-2016, 11:31 AM
 
Location: Old Mother Idaho
29,231 posts, read 22,482,021 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SharpshooterTom View Post
Clinton 46
Trump 31
Johnson 7
Stein 2

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/raba-research-25020

Previous poll after the RNC had Clinton up by 5, so this is a significant bounce. However most other polls had Trump leading or at least tied last week, so probably a democrat-leaning bias to this pollster.

And I still don't know why people are obsessed with bounces if they just disappear in 2 weeks. Nevertheless she has gotten a nice bounce here which will undoubtedly propel her back into lead once again as we enter august.
The Huffington pollster is an aggregator. It takes the most recent polls and averages them, but doesn't go into the same level of detail than RCP and Nate Silver do. None of them conduct polls, and all of them aggregate all the polls that are taken from all sources.

Since parsing takes time, Huffington's averages are always faster than the others. I've been watching Pollster because of its speed.

Trump did get a bounce after the RNC convention. For a couple of days, he was 2 points ahead of Clinton last week, and during the DNC convention, was in a dead tie with Clinton. But the last two aggregations put Clinton up 1 point, then 2. The 3rd aggregation put her up to 5 in the lead, so her bounce was slower in coming, but now appears to be lasting longer than Trump's.

The Democratic convention must have achieved its intended purpose. It gave voters a brighter, more optimistic view than the dark savagery of the Republican convention, and must have caused lots of folks to think about which future they preferred.

Hope floats. Always has, always will. Trump led his party down a very dark and threatening alley where no hope exists. When a person is fearful, what does he turn to? Hope.
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Old 07-30-2016, 11:33 AM
 
Location: NE Ohio
30,419 posts, read 20,367,423 times
Reputation: 8958
Quote:
Originally Posted by SharpshooterTom View Post
Clinton 46
Trump 31
Johnson 7
Stein 2

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/raba-research-25020

Previous poll after the RNC had Clinton up by 5, so this is a significant bounce. However most other polls had Trump leading or at least tied last week, so probably a democrat-leaning bias to this pollster.

And I still don't know why people are obsessed with bounces if they just disappear in 2 weeks. Nevertheless she has gotten a nice bounce here which will undoubtedly propel her back into lead once again as we enter august.
Huffington Post! LOL! Even if true, I don't see how Crooked Hillary can get any lasting "bounce." There was so much hatred for her at the convention. And they kept the Sanders supporters out later (according to a delegate who gave an account). This was so rigged!

Only Fox News covered the mega protest outside the convention. One anarchist set a flag on fire and caught his own clothes on fire in the process!! LOL
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