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Odds for elections do not work this way. Nothing happened to cause them to go 57% for Trump to 83% for Hillary in such a short time frame.
It never happened. I'm not saying Trump was ever at 57% or Hillary isn't at 83% if there was even a real way to measure this and there isn't but those swings did not happen.
Odds for elections do not work this way. Nothing happened to cause them to go 57% for Trump to 83% for Hillary in such a short time frame.
It never happened. I'm not saying Trump was ever at 57% or Hillary isn't at 83% if there was even a real way to measure this and there isn't but those swings did not happen.
Don't mistake the odds that Silver gives for the underlying raw numbers from the polling. They're not the same. For one thing, Silver's odds take the electoral college into account.
Don't mistake the odds that Silver gives for the underlying raw numbers. They're not the same.
I'm speaking about the odds Silver puts out as that is the topic.
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