Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
I see that Mr. Nate Silver still has Utah a Trump win, saying he has an 82 percent chance of winning that state. However, new polls as of this morning (linked in another thread) showed a virtual tie.
Just to be clear, what you are posting is the 'now cast' - which is who would win if the election was today. As the election is not today, it is a pretty meaningless number. The Polls Plus forecast has Clinton at 69% vs 31% for Trump - which is still hugely favorable odds.
Just to be clear, what you are posting is the 'now cast' - which is who would win if the election was today. As the election is not today, it is a pretty meaningless number. The Polls Plus forecast has Clinton at 69% vs 31% for Trump - which is still hugely favorable odds.
It isn't a meaningless number. As I'm sure most R election strategists would tell you. They have to be scrambling around like a bunch of disturbed ants right now, figuring out how to change that number. If it were meaningless, they'd just say "ho-hum" and turn the next page of the summer novel they're reading.
You are of course right that it will most likely be a different number two weeks from now and that the poll that will settle the question won't occur until November.
It isn't a meaningless number. As I'm sure most R election strategists would tell you. They have to be scrambling around like a bunch of disturbed ants right now, figuring out how to change that number. If it were meaningless, they'd just say "ho-hum" and turn the next page of the summer novel they're reading.
You are of course right that it will most likely be a different number two weeks from now and that the poll that will settle the question won't occur until November.
So do you think that number will fluctuate over the course of 99 days?
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
