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Old 08-06-2017, 05:48 AM
 
Location: Morrison, CO
34,398 posts, read 18,786,652 times
Reputation: 25988

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Seems like a lot of whistling past the grave yard going on here.
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Old 08-06-2017, 01:02 PM
 
9,986 posts, read 7,373,494 times
Reputation: 11682
Quote:
Originally Posted by PilgrimsProgress View Post
Elizabeth Fauxcahontas Warren will be lucky if she wins re-election in her own state. A 'real Indian' will probably oppose her.
Sorry but a hard right Republican doesn't stand a chance in MA against any Dem. More than likely Geoff Diehl - Trump's MA coordinator - will be the sacrificial lamb the GOP will have run against Warren.
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Old 08-06-2017, 06:02 PM
 
Location: Kansas City, MISSOURI
20,996 posts, read 9,721,752 times
Reputation: 15822
Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
The odds takers certainly don't think so. They think Trump will win it by wide margin.

https://electionbettingodds.com/week.html

Trump is up 2% just this week!
That same site also says there is less than a 50-50 chance Trump will even make it to 2020:

https://electionbettingodds.com/TrumpLeaveOffice.html

Year Trump leaves office:
2020 or later: 48%
2019: 16.3%
2018: 24.5%
2017: 11.2%
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Old 08-07-2017, 11:33 AM
 
Location: Kansas
26,239 posts, read 22,408,737 times
Reputation: 27115
Quote:
Originally Posted by James Bond 007 View Post
In one poll of Trump vs potential democrats recently taken, Trump loses to every single one. He even loses to Kamala Harris!
Kamala Harris in dead heat with Trump in 2020 poll, but other Democrats win handily - SFGate
I guess you didn't follow the polling during the campaign season in 2016, right? Before quoting polls, try "googling" and find out "why has polling become so inaccurate". The polls predicted a President Clinton in the White House, how did that work for you?

Quote:
Originally Posted by amenalot View Post
Its impossible for Trump to lose 2020, because he's the best campaigner we've ever seen, plus Democrats are still being tricked by the polls.
Most Trump supporters will avoid a pollster, because pollsters represent the media, and there is nothing worse than the media.
Most Trump supporters don't even watch Fox News, because Trump supporters think for themselves.
Yep, still quoting polls, I guess it gives them some sort of inner peace. They really should discuss these polls with President Hillary Clinton though as she, at least, used to believe in them too!

Quote:
Originally Posted by James Bond 007 View Post
That same site also says there is less than a 50-50 chance Trump will even make it to 2020:

https://electionbettingodds.com/TrumpLeaveOffice.html

Year Trump leaves office:
2020 or later: 48%
2019: 16.3%
2018: 24.5%
2017: 11.2%
Ever heard "false sense of security"? Email President Clinton and ask her how that works out!
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Old 08-07-2017, 05:47 PM
 
Location: Pine Grove,AL
29,639 posts, read 16,681,969 times
Reputation: 6081
Quote:
Originally Posted by dashrendar4454 View Post
"The sample group itself leans Democratic. 836 registered voters participated in the poll between July 14 and 17 and of those 836 participants, 42 percent of them identify as Democrats, 31 percent of them identify as Republicans, and 27 percent of them identify as "independent/other."
That is pretty close to the actual make up of the country. There are more people who identify as "lean democrat" or a Democrat than there are who are Republicans or lean Republican.

people who identify as Independents do lean Republican though.
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Old 08-07-2017, 06:22 PM
 
3,569 posts, read 2,538,550 times
Reputation: 2290
Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
The odds takers certainly don't think so. They think Trump will win it by wide margin.

https://electionbettingodds.com/week.html

Trump is up 2% just this week!
Umm . . . did you notice Trump is at 28.5% in the link you posted? That's not exactly a wide margin--it is a wide margin for losing. Not that the methodology there is reliable, but at least realize that the field is at 71.5% against Trump's 28.5%.
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Old 08-07-2017, 07:08 PM
 
Location: Lebanon, OH
7,095 posts, read 9,018,261 times
Reputation: 14762
Maybe Trump's performance would be better if he got more cooperation from Paul Ryan and Mitch McConnell and courts were not blocking things he is trying to get done.
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Old 08-09-2017, 02:08 PM
 
Location: Bella Vista, Ark
77,770 posts, read 105,273,772 times
Reputation: 49251
Quote:
Originally Posted by James Bond 007 View Post
In one poll of Trump vs potential democrats recently taken, Trump loses to every single one. He even loses to Kamala Harris!
Kamala Harris in dead heat with Trump in 2020 poll, but other Democrats win handily - SFGate
pick real polls, not ones that are leaning and remember there are 3 plus years before the election. Don't get too excited. I didn't read the poll, how many people were polled and from which parties as well as what part of the country? Oh and lets remember the choices were candidates that are not likely to run, Joe Biden for heavens sake. And Bernie Sanders, his age and possibly his wife would work against if he really did get the nomination. Warren, not in our life time. Corey, closest to a possibility. Well I spent a long day shopping and putting groceries away. I am tired but you have given me a good laugh. Thanks!!! Oh now I see; it was democrat leaning and less than a 1000 participated/
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Old 08-09-2017, 02:28 PM
 
Location: Cape Cod
24,819 posts, read 17,567,386 times
Reputation: 36151
I can't believe that people still believe polls and articles where their facts are gathered by polls.

Trump has a good chance of winning in 2020 if the Dems don't get their act together. They cannot go on attacking him because it is really wearing on people and does nothing but bolster his supporters.
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Old 08-09-2017, 02:33 PM
 
Location: Inland Northwest
526 posts, read 388,669 times
Reputation: 874
Well, seeing how right the polls were about the 2016 Election has me thinking this one is spot on too.


But, no matter. Trump won't run in 2020 anyway.
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