Quote:
Originally Posted by Listener2307
Still, the R's hold 12 out of 18 districts in PA. And the battle R's just lost happened in a district that was totally changed by redistricting, so that one has to pretty much start over, although the D guy is a good fit for the people in his area.
Could it switch to D-superior in '18?
PA was a must-win to Trump. And it will be in 2020 . No predictions which way it will go because we don't know who the candidates will be yet.
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It will be very difficult for them to hold 12 of 18 come November. PA-05 (which was the old PA-7) is gone for the GOP. This seat was in real danger of flipping even before redistricting, but now that Goofy is no longer kicking Donald, the district has gone from a swing district to a Democratic one. PA-7 which was most of the old PA-15 is in serious danger of flipping as well. PA-6 is likely gone and the current Rep hasn't decided if he will even campaign. Lamb did win in the old PA-18, and the new PA-14 will become even more Republican. The GOP is likely to win that won back in November, however it will likely come at the expense of the new PA-17. Lamb lives in the new PA-17 and will be running there against Congressman Keith Rothus (of the old PA-12) The new PA-17 is a swing district mostly in the closer in Pittsburgh suburbs of Allegheny (Lamb's base) and not nearly as Republican as the district he just won.
I would expect a 9-9 split or perhaps 10-8 either side, 11-7 split for the Dems isn't out of the question if there is a real strong wave, less likely for the GOP unless a candidate really stumbles.
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