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Since a near tie between Biden and Warren on August 13, Warren has now gone nearly off the charts in overseas betting sites. August 13 it was Biden 27.9, Warren 27.6. Now 6 weeks later it's Warren 49.8, Biden 20.1.
As I understand it, these betting sites, or 'prediction markets,' are intended to provide experts and insiders with a way to make money from their knowledge, and in the process give the average Joe a window into what they know.
Bernie Gutman (AKA "Sanders") is hospitalized with artery blockage.
Do you think he now bows out?
Quite possibly.
Stents require time to heal, but their effects can be very rapid. Bernie could feel much better and try to push his recovery, or he could listen to his doctors and follow their advice, take it easy and drop out.
One would keep him in the race while endangering his health, and the other would drop him out but ensure his recovery.
Joe Biden's fundraising numbers are falling off. Also, Pocahontas has closed within two in the RCP national poll average. It is a dead heat, with Joe Biden going down.
First, he lost his clear lead in the polls over the rest of the record-setting field of Democratic presidential contenders. Now, former Vice President Joe Biden has been eclipsed by three of his rivals for their party’s 2020 nomination in the crucial race for campaign cash. Democratic strategists say the "devastating number" is a clear warning sign for Biden as he battles to be his party's 2020 standard-bearer. Even the candidate acknowledges the deficit.
“We haven't raised what a lot of people have -- we got started way later than everybody else, but we’ve raised, this last quarter, $15 million, in the middle of summer,” Biden said Thursday at a fundraising event in Palo Alto, Calif.
The $15.2 million the former vice president brought in during the July-September third quarter of fundraising was down more than $6 million from the $21.5 million he raised in the April-June quarter. Perhaps more telling is the fact that it is far behind the $25.3 million that Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont collected in the past three months, and the $24.6 million that Sen. Elizabeth Warren raised.
Since the success of Biden's candidacy was going to be the inevitability of his eventual victory, this is not a good look for him. This looks like the beginning of the end for old Joe. Perhaps this is premature, but somehow I do not think so.
Bernie Sanders had a heart attack, his doctors said, as they released him from the hospital. This is of course not automatically disqualifying for Sanders as a presidential candidate. But in the end, people vote FOR a candidate and this is not going to help his campaign.
Sen. Bernie Sanders was released from the hospital Friday evening after doctors say he had a heart attack earlier in the week.
The 2020 presidential hopeful felt chest discomfort during a campaign event in Las Vegas Tuesday. He had a blockage in one artery and two stents were inserted, his campaign said earlier this week.
Sanders' treating physicians Arturo E. Marchand Jr and Arun Guraraj released a statement via the campaign Friday saying that Sanders was “diagnosed with a myocardial infarction” at another facility before being transferred to Desert Springs Hospital Medical Center. A myocardial infarction is the medical term for a heart attack.
“After two and a half days in the hospital, I feel great, and after taking a short time off, I look forward to getting back to work,” Sanders, 78, said in a statement Friday.
And also there is the physical damage that results from an episode like this, especially for a man his age. He says he will be back out on the campaign trail after a short time. But will he? And if he is, will he still have the same vigor, strength and stamina? Heart attacks frequently result in death, after all. This is no minor matter.
In any case, with Joe Biden trending down and Bernie Sanders on the mend, the way appears to be opening up for Pocahontas to take over the leading position for the nomination. Whether she can hold onto it or not remains to be seen.
But the more of Bernie Sanders support she can pick up, the better. Because as Joe Biden continues to fade, that is going to create an increasingly apparent vacuum on the more moderate wing of the contest. And we all know that nature (at least here on Earth) abhors a vacuum.
But the more of Bernie Sanders support she can pick up, the better. Because as Joe Biden continues to fade, that is going to create an increasingly apparent vacuum on the more moderate wing of the contest. And we all know that nature (at least here on Earth) abhors a vacuum.
Unfortunately for history that did not happen in 1972. When Humphrey, Muskie and Henry (Scoop) Jackson finished their circular firing squad routine we were left with the hapless McGovern on t he ticket,, who self-destructed in the way he fired Eagleton from the ticket. Err, pressured him to quit.
Unfortunately for history that did not happen in 1972. When Humphrey, Muskie and Henry (Scoop) Jackson finished their circular firing squad routine we were left with the hapless McGovern on t he ticket,, who self-destructed in the way he fired Eagleton from the ticket. Err, pressured him to quit.
The difference here is that all the main candidates for the Democrats are on the far left this time. So, if there is going to be a circular firing squad, that is where it appears that it would have to take place.
The problem is, if Biden withdraws from the race, then there is not a more centrist candidate of any significant stature left standing for the Democrats. Someone would have to either get in, or one of the current more centrist candidates would have to undergo some sort of rapid transformation into a national figure who is commanding substantial support.
There are a lot of Democrat voters who would like to see a candidate like that. And even though I could not tell you who it might be, it would be strange to see this race completed with nobody of note in that lane for all of those people to vote for. Very strange.
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That little corn pop...was ME!
