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Old 06-06-2019, 02:10 PM
 
Location: Bella Vista, Ark
77,771 posts, read 104,711,350 times
Reputation: 49248

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Daywalk View Post
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...iden-6744.html

Wow!!

Polls had Trump +0.8 over Clinton in 2016 and trump won by 3.6%, which means polls overestimated Clinton by 2.8% (https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...nton-5538.html )

So by the same logic, if polls overestimate Biden by 2.8%, Biden will win by 9.2%!!!!
It way to early to predict anything based on polls 18 months prior to the election. Oh, I am sorry 17 months. even if it wasn't too early, how many other polls showed Clinton way ahead with a few months, weeks or even days to go. Don't crack the champaign bottle quiet yet.
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Old 06-06-2019, 02:14 PM
 
Location: Bella Vista, Ark
77,771 posts, read 104,711,350 times
Reputation: 49248
Quote:
Originally Posted by mrpeatie View Post
Actually- polls were accurate. Too many people ignored margin of error- all the states Hillary lost (except Wi) were either Trump leads or a HRC lead within the margin of error. A lead within the margin should be considered a tie. She performed within MOE by winning the popular vote by 2% as well.


The significance of two of those polls would be exceeding MOE. But in truth they don't matter for an entirely different reason- we're still 17 months from the election and its too early to have a good assessment.
not months ahead of time: she had a huge lead, plus she did in many or the national polls almost up to election day.
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Old 06-06-2019, 03:52 PM
 
52,431 posts, read 26,615,791 times
Reputation: 21097
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daywalk View Post
Joe Biden will be the next president of the United States!
Hmm. He'll be 100 years old in 2025 after Trump leaves office. Doesn't seem likely.
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Old 06-06-2019, 06:46 PM
 
Location: Live:Downtown Phoenix, AZ/Work:Greater Los Angeles, CA
27,606 posts, read 14,594,858 times
Reputation: 9169
Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
Hmm. He'll be 100 years old in 2025 after Trump leaves office. Doesn't seem likely.
First, you mean 2021, and next year he'll be 79 (still old, but only a couple years older than the cheeto)
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Old 06-07-2019, 09:21 AM
 
52,431 posts, read 26,615,791 times
Reputation: 21097
Quote:
Originally Posted by FirebirdCamaro1220 View Post
First, you mean 2021, and next year he'll be 79 (still old, but only a couple years older than the cheeto)
That one clearly went over your head.
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Old 06-07-2019, 09:24 AM
 
Location: Live:Downtown Phoenix, AZ/Work:Greater Los Angeles, CA
27,606 posts, read 14,594,858 times
Reputation: 9169
Quote:
Originally Posted by WaldoKitty View Post
That one clearly went over your head.
Nope, because I know what you were getting at (i.e. the cheeto getting re-elected); and don't agree with it happening
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Old 06-07-2019, 09:32 AM
 
52,431 posts, read 26,615,791 times
Reputation: 21097
Quote:
Originally Posted by FirebirdCamaro1220 View Post
Nope, because I know what you were getting at (i.e. the cheeto getting re-elected); and don't agree with it happening
I'm good with you believing anything you like.
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Old 06-07-2019, 01:18 PM
 
Location: Atlanta, GA
14,834 posts, read 7,409,947 times
Reputation: 8966
People are fed up with the maniac, we're taking him out Nov 2020.
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Old 06-12-2019, 12:36 PM
 
Location: Sputnik Planitia
7,829 posts, read 11,785,978 times
Reputation: 9045
Biden has no chance against Trump...seriously the guy has no stage presence, passion or enthusiasm, looks just like Trump describes him "sleepy guy"... Elizabeth Warren or Pete Buttigeg (sp) has a much better chance at Trump. Of course the dems will nominate Biden and he will predictably lose... deja vu what happened with Hillary.
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Old 06-12-2019, 01:21 PM
 
11,523 posts, read 14,650,355 times
Reputation: 16821
NC swing state, esp. w/ Charlotte, Raleigh, W/S, Greensboro and Wilmington, large cities leaning democratic. Outlying areas very red.
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