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Do people reasonably think Biden can win? Biden in his current dementia and mental decline state?
I honestly think the percentage of people who will vote for "anyone at all other than Trump" is a core Trump hating group of the left and Democrats, maybe 25-30% on that side.
If Biden IS somehow elected, his VP will be President soon, as Biden will most likely have to step down due to advancing dementia.
This will result in a woman as President for the first time, so I think that is why the Democrats and left are drooling and so giddy about Biden winning--they are looking WAY past Biden.
Biden hasnt been out of his basement since March 10th according to his Facebook page:
I think he knows he's going to be replaced by the DNC, so he's thrown in the towel. He's tired of playing the game. It's not worth making himself vulnerable to C-19.
Emerson polls show how unlikely it is for Trump to win the national popular vote. In 2016, Trump won Texas by 9 while losing California by 30. Clinton carried California by 4.3 million votes while Trump carried Texas by 800,000. The last time a Republican carried the popular vote he received a larger margin in Texas than the Democrat had in California.
Trump’s lead in TX in all polls is smaller than in 2016, while the D lead in thiss poll in California is exactly the same as in 2016.
Last edited by Bureaucat; 05-12-2020 at 07:30 AM..
I think it's very unlikely that TX will not go for tRump in November. And I have no doubt that our empty suit senator Cornyn will be re-elected.
But the gap is continually narrowing and the steady influx of younger folks from out of state, combined withe the ever growing Latino population makes a purple future almost certain.
When that happens, the GOP is just about done as a national party. They have no other "big state" with a truckload of electoral votes to reliably take TX's place.
When that happens, the GOP is just about done as a national party.
At least with their current platform. They can always change to be more in line with the views of a majority of Americans if they want to retain viability as a party. This path has always been available, but they may now be forced to take it.
At least with their current platform. They can always change to be more in line with the views of a majority of Americans if they want to retain viability as a party. This path has always been available, but they may now be forced to take it.
The problem is that the longer they wait as a party to pivot to take positions more attractive to minorities and white college graduates, the more they solidify the Democrats edge in those growing demographic groups with younger voters.
Chasing a dying demographic is never a viable long-term political strategy.
I think it's very unlikely that TX will not go for tRump in November. And I have no doubt that our empty suit senator Cornyn will be re-elected.
But the gap is continually narrowing and the steady influx of younger folks from out of state, combined withe the ever growing Latino population makes a purple future almost certain.
When that happens, the GOP is just about done as a national party. They have no other "big state" with a truckload of electoral votes to reliably take TX's place.
I don’t expect for Texas to be that close in 2020, but I will be watching to see if Trump’s winning margin in 2020 will be narrower than the 9% margin of 2016, or if Johnson voters who refused to vote for Trump in 2016 return to the fold.
Do people reasonably think Biden can win? Biden in his current dementia and mental decline state?
I honestly think the percentage of people who will vote for "anyone at all other than Trump" is a core Trump hating group of the left and Democrats, maybe 25-30% on that side.
If Biden IS somehow elected, his VP will be President soon, as Biden will most likely have to step down due to advancing dementia.
This will result in a woman as President for the first time, so I think that is why the Democrats and left are drooling and so giddy about Biden winning--they are looking WAY past Biden.
The only problem with your analysis is that the "anyone but Trump, Trump-hating group" is more like 50% of the electorate. The "lesser of two evils" group that voted for Trump in 2016 may pick Biden, because he is not hated anywhere near the way they hated Hillary.
At least with their current platform. They can always change to be more in line with the views of a majority of Americans if they want to retain viability as a party. This path has always been available, but they may now be forced to take it.
If Pubs move even a millimeter left, their precious religious lunatic fringe will invoke divine vengeance.
They voluntarily chose to wear the yoke of fake christianity and it's leading them to irrelevance on the national level.
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