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Old 05-13-2020, 12:24 PM
 
2,774 posts, read 902,328 times
Reputation: 2917

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Frostnip View Post
Let's be real, Democrat or Republican, people from that area weren't going to elect a Ho-Chunk woman. I grew up in the area and I well remember the casual anti-Native sentiment.
Everything is ray cyst? Please, give it a rest. Maybe the republican was a better candidate.
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Old 05-13-2020, 12:43 PM
 
5,938 posts, read 4,697,978 times
Reputation: 4631
Not to sour your celebration, but that is a red district and it has become less red over time.

Republican congressman vote totals in WI-7:
2016: 61.7%
2018: 60.1%
2020: 57.2%

That's a loss of 4.5% support in a district with about 362,000 active voters. That's possibly 16,000 less Republican supporters in a state where Trump only won by 22,000 votes in 2016.

WI-5 saw a 4% drop of support in a district with about 380,000 active voters. That's 15,000 voters.
WI-6 saw a 2% drop of support in another district with about 360,000 active voters. There's another 8,000.

So a Republican won in a district where they usually win by 22% or more and he wins by 14%. In my opinion, it shows that the state has moved left. And when Trump only won by 22,000 votes, I think his grip on Wisconsin is precarious.
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Old 05-13-2020, 01:06 PM
 
Location: Free State of Florida
25,729 posts, read 12,800,389 times
Reputation: 19290
A win is a win is a win! I'll take it any way I can, and celebrate like its 1999.

After Barr and Durham start proving to the whole Country how corrupt the Democrats have been since Trump's victory in 2016, some will become so horrified by the teasonous coup, they'll flip to Red.

Who wants to be asociated with a political party that committed crimes against the state? Treason? Tried to invalidate an election outcome voted upon by the American people by a coup d'etat? The Democrat party are disgraceful, & dangerous to our Republic.

When those responsible start going to federal prison, some will abandon the Democrat party. The people of Wisconsin are too patriotic to stay in bed with enemies of the state.


Quote:
Originally Posted by dspguy View Post
Not to sour your celebration, but that is a red district and it has become less red over time.

Republican congressman vote totals in WI-7:
2016: 61.7%
2018: 60.1%
2020: 57.2%

That's a loss of 4.5% support in a district with about 362,000 active voters. That's possibly 16,000 less Republican supporters in a state where Trump only won by 22,000 votes in 2016.

WI-5 saw a 4% drop of support in a district with about 380,000 active voters. That's 15,000 voters.
WI-6 saw a 2% drop of support in another district with about 360,000 active voters. There's another 8,000.

So a Republican won in a district where they usually win by 22% or more and he wins by 14%. In my opinion, it shows that the state has moved left. And when Trump only won by 22,000 votes, I think his grip on Wisconsin is precarious.
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Old 05-13-2020, 02:22 PM
 
5,938 posts, read 4,697,978 times
Reputation: 4631
Quote:
Originally Posted by beach43ofus View Post
A win is a win is a win! I'll take it any way I can, and celebrate like its 1999.
Undeniably, it is a win. It is a sample point in Wisconsin with less than 6 months before Election Day showing that support for Republicans might be less than it was in 2020. Given how close 2016 was for those Electoral Votes, it doesn't bode well. Then again, Trump has shown time and time again that he manages to dodge political norms with little repercussion. Maybe Tiffany wins WI-7 with 65% of the vote and Trump wins WI by 125,000 votes.
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Old 05-13-2020, 02:56 PM
 
Location: Boulder, CO
2,066 posts, read 900,669 times
Reputation: 3489
"Hold on, Hold on ! It ain't over, we're still finding (D) ballots !" - "Bi-partisan" Election Officials
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Old 05-13-2020, 04:19 PM
 
5,581 posts, read 2,306,661 times
Reputation: 4804
The district is a very red and very rural section of northern Wisconsin. The seat was not in play.
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Old 05-13-2020, 04:37 PM
 
Location: West Palm Beach, FL
17,620 posts, read 6,905,165 times
Reputation: 16526
Quote:
Originally Posted by Variable View Post
The district is a very red and very rural section of northern Wisconsin. The seat was not in play.
Except Democrat Dave Obey held it for 42 years. Tells you how the Democrat Party has turned its back on rural America.
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Old 05-13-2020, 06:59 PM
 
5,581 posts, read 2,306,661 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RowingFiend View Post
Except Democrat Dave Obey held it for 42 years. Tells you how the Democrat Party has turned its back on rural America.
Republican Sean Duffy was elected to the office in 2010 and held the seat until he resigned Sept 2019. It's a red seat and has been for the past decade. The special election was to replace Duffy(R).

Trump carried the district by 20 points in 2016, yet the R won this special election by 14 points. This WI district, though solid red, swung 6 points toward the Ds since 2016.
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Old 05-13-2020, 08:58 PM
 
Location: Honolulu/DMV Area/NYC
30,633 posts, read 18,214,590 times
Reputation: 34508
Quote:
Originally Posted by Variable View Post
Republican Sean Duffy was elected to the office in 2010 and held the seat until he resigned Sept 2019. It's a red seat and has been for the past decade. The special election was to replace Duffy(R).

Trump carried the district by 20 points in 2016, yet the R won this special election by 14 points. This WI district, though solid red, swung 6 points toward the Ds since 2016.
Trump is a special kind of Republican. Indeed, it was basically a tied district in 2012, though to be fair the district boundaries changed in 2013, so talk of how the GOP has historically performed prior to 2013 isn't all that helpful without knowing more about how the boundaries shifted. Still, the narrative is that Trump voters are souring on him and taking their anger out on Republicans. That's why this double digit victory is news.

The fact that Sean Duffy won it even more comfortably doesn't necessarily mean much as he was an incumbent. This was an open seat in a year where the narrative is that the GOP is in trouble.

All of this is to say that I don't think anyone expected the Dem to win. But I think Dems would have been happy if the margins were closer than they were.
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Old 05-13-2020, 09:00 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,184 posts, read 19,459,426 times
Reputation: 5302
Quote:
Originally Posted by RowingFiend View Post
Link: https://www.businessinsider.com/wisc...results-2020-5

Tiffany has 58% of the vote with 77% of precincts reporting. He is even winning Marathon County, which has Wausau in it.

Congratulations to Representative Tiffany!
This is a staunchly GOP seat, it was never in play. As far as winning Marathon County, considering the GOP has won the county on the Presidential level in 4 of the last 5 races, how exactly is that surprising? Hell, Walker lost statewide in 2018 and won Marathon by 19.
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