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Old 06-07-2020, 01:27 PM
 
Location: Kansas City, MISSOURI
20,871 posts, read 9,541,930 times
Reputation: 15595

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Of all the states Trump won in 2016 that usually have gone democrat in recent decades, it looks like Michigan is the farthest ahead in returning back to the democrats. In the RCP average Biden is up by over 7 points in an average of 3 polls since the start of April, and Trump has not been ahead of Biden in a single Michigan poll in more than a year.

Then today we get another poll by the Detroit Free Press which has Biden ahead by a whopping 12 points among likely voters. This is double the percentage the same poll had him in January.

Joe Biden has doubled his lead over Donald Trump in Michigan, poll says
Quote:
Former Vice President Joe Biden has increased his lead over President Donald Trump to 12 percentage points in Michigan, where voters are unhappy with Trump's response to the coronavirus pandemic, according to a new poll.

Biden, the presumed Democratic nominee, leads Republican Trump in Michigan 53-41, according to a poll conducted by EPIC-MRA of Lansing between May 30 and last Wednesday.

Biden's lead over Trump in Michigan, seen as a key battleground state in the Nov. 3 presidential election, has doubled from six points in January, when Michigan voters favored Biden over Trump 50-44, in an earlier EPIC-MRA survey.
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Old 06-07-2020, 06:55 PM
 
Location: Atlanta, GA
14,834 posts, read 7,414,997 times
Reputation: 8966
Michigan seems to be the strongest state for Ds of the 3 Trump flipped. All but certain to flip back.
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Old 06-07-2020, 07:36 PM
 
Location: Brooklyn, NY
10,070 posts, read 14,449,392 times
Reputation: 11257
Yeah, I'd say a Democrat win looks pretty solid for November, considering all the incredible positives the Democrats have going for them right now.

*The riots, looting and Democrat supported ANTIFA destruction of businesses and further economic decline

*The Democrat governor lockdowns and shelter-in-place orders still going strong after 3 months in blue states

*Presidential candidate Biden has strong cognitive decline, corruption ties, 50 years of DC swamp experience

*Democrat supported police defunding

Sounds pretty reasonable, all of it. Should be good for a total Biden landslide win.


LOL
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Old 06-11-2020, 10:03 PM
 
Location: Old Mother Idaho
29,218 posts, read 22,371,062 times
Reputation: 23858
RCP's running tally has Biden ahead by 8.1 points this week overall.

Not a landslide, but enough for a solid victory if it holds to Election Day.

In the battleground states of Florida, Wisconsin, N. Carolina, an Arizona, Biden is leading by 3.4 points in all except North Carolina, where Trump is leading by 0.3 points.

And since Trump just picked a fight with North Carolina over the Republican convention, which was to be held there, but not now, apparently, I expect Trump will soon lose that narrow lead there.

Trump's real problem is his Senate majority leadership.
The generic Senate polling now favors the Democrats by 8.2 points. If that holds, it's more than enough to turn the Senate Democratic in November. The GOP could lose both Congress and the White House this time due to Trump's long coat-tails.
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Old 06-11-2020, 10:17 PM
 
Location: North Carolina
6,957 posts, read 8,493,779 times
Reputation: 6777
Quote:
Originally Posted by banjomike View Post
RCP's running tally has Biden ahead by 8.1 points this week overall.

Not a landslide, but enough for a solid victory if it holds to Election Day.

In the battleground states of Florida, Wisconsin, N. Carolina, an Arizona, Biden is leading by 3.4 points in all except North Carolina, where Trump is leading by 0.3 points.

And since Trump just picked a fight with North Carolina over the Republican convention, which was to be held there, but not now, apparently, I expect Trump will soon lose that narrow lead there.

Trump's real problem is his Senate majority leadership.
The generic Senate polling now favors the Democrats by 8.2 points. If that holds, it's more than enough to turn the Senate Democratic in November. The GOP could lose both Congress and the White House this time due to Trump's long coat-tails.

I'm hoping that his rejection of Charlotte NC as the main Republican convention site ticks off enough North Carolina voters that this purple state goes blue in November. Trump isn't "winning friends" here anymore!
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Old 06-11-2020, 10:23 PM
 
Location: North Carolina
6,957 posts, read 8,493,779 times
Reputation: 6777
Quote:
Originally Posted by WaterWave View Post
The democrats arnt winning anyone right now

Is that what your crystal balls are telling you? What polls are you reading about the toss-up states?
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Old 06-12-2020, 01:28 AM
 
2,643 posts, read 2,443,847 times
Reputation: 1928
Sounds about right though Biden will probably win by more
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