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Old 07-04-2020, 10:43 PM
 
Location: Brooklyn, NY
10,066 posts, read 14,444,601 times
Reputation: 11256

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I'll give my prediction a shot right now for July 5th.

I expect mine to change somewhat, as election season rolls along:

https://www.270towin.com/maps/exEl7

Trump 304
Biden 234
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Old 07-04-2020, 10:52 PM
 
Location: USA
31,041 posts, read 22,077,427 times
Reputation: 19081
Quote:
Originally Posted by SFBayBoomer View Post
FYI: AOC is only 30 yrs. old, born October 13, 1989, so there is no way that she can run for President this year.
She's qualified to be President of CHOP, that's for sure
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Old 07-05-2020, 12:29 PM
 
Location: Cheektowaga, NY
2,008 posts, read 1,248,178 times
Reputation: 1794
Quote:
Originally Posted by Patriotic Dissent View Post
I am curious why you think Biden wins Ohio but Trump keeps everything else he won in 16?
Because I say so
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Old 07-05-2020, 12:34 PM
 
Location: Georgia
2,707 posts, read 1,033,390 times
Reputation: 1723
Quote:
Originally Posted by RiotAct41 View Post
Because I say so
Lol okay. Just thought maybe there was something I was missing etc...we shall see I guess.
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Old 07-05-2020, 01:15 PM
 
Location: New Albany, Indiana (Greater Louisville)
11,974 posts, read 25,476,450 times
Reputation: 12187
Quote:
Originally Posted by ottomobeale View Post
1) Go to 270 to win. (270towin.com)
2) Color in the states as you see them.
3) Use the snip tool to take a pic of your map.
4) Insert it here. (Use the attachment paperclip icon. My map is only 60K so yours should be around that)

Mine
I'm with the OP on the most likely outcome. AZ is likely to follow CO in becoming reliably blue but upper Midwest other than MN is becoming red. There will be a lot of very close elections in states like NC, GA, FL. I think they narrowly revote for Trump as in 2016.
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Old 07-05-2020, 05:55 PM
 
19 posts, read 4,875 times
Reputation: 12
I have Trump with 342 Biden with 196
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Old 07-05-2020, 05:56 PM
 
19 posts, read 4,875 times
Reputation: 12
Quote:
Originally Posted by censusdata View Post
I'm with the OP on the most likely outcome. AZ is likely to follow CO in becoming reliably blue but upper Midwest other than MN is becoming red. There will be a lot of very close elections in states like NC, GA, FL. I think they narrowly revote for Trump as in 2016.
Arizona is not turning blue with Biden's laughable Latino numbers.

Better chance Georgia turned blue
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Old 07-05-2020, 05:57 PM
 
Location: Georgia
2,707 posts, read 1,033,390 times
Reputation: 1723
Quote:
Originally Posted by censusdata View Post
I'm with the OP on the most likely outcome. AZ is likely to follow CO in becoming reliably blue but upper Midwest other than MN is becoming red. There will be a lot of very close elections in states like NC, GA, FL. I think they narrowly revote for Trump as in 2016.
Have you watched some of the special elections etc in Minnesota? Plus with this rioting mess I think its gonna Minnesota going red in 2020.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Centersquare View Post
I have Trump with 342 Biden with 196
Do you have a map we can see?
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Old 07-05-2020, 06:08 PM
 
Location: Texas
38,859 posts, read 25,538,911 times
Reputation: 24780
Interesting and accurate election map here:

https://electoral-vote.com

Based on most recent polling data for each state.

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Old 07-05-2020, 06:34 PM
 
19 posts, read 4,875 times
Reputation: 12
My favorite.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...-forecast.html

The Upshot’s elections model suggests that Hillary Clinton is favored to win the presidency, based on the latest state and national polls.

Mrs. Clinton’s chance of losing is about the same as the probability that an N.F.L. kicker misses a 37-yard field goal.
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