Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
Trump is not going to make Virginia competitive. It's solid blue now. It wasn't even close in 2016. Polling in NH, MN and Nevada has been light, but what there has been has been pretty bad for Trump.
You are definitely missing some likely Biden states- namely at least 1-2 of the MI, WI, PA combo. Florida and NC are still possibilities, as is Arizona.
Virginia's governor is not liked, the closeted racist dude Northam. He's pro late term abortion, pretty anti 2nd amendment and Virginia has only been "blue" since 2004's election. The DC suburban counties, Richmond and parts of Norfolk are blue. There's a huge red portion of VA--and they are voting in full force.
Clinton won in 2016 with about 222,000 votes over Trump. Trump can narrow that gap, and I think he will.
As for Florida, that's not voting Biden--too many old folks. NC is not happening either for Biden--solidly red.
Michigan, Wisconsin will both go Trump. Pennsylvania may be tighter, but Trump should carry it.
Sleepy Biden's toast man. "Come on man!" in the words of Biden. LOL
I appreciate the links (see, that wasn't so hard!), but there are some questions/issues with this.
For the 2nd link, it's comparing exit polls to a single survey taken nearly 4 months before the election, which isn't a direct comparison. We won't have a direct comparison until the actual election.
With the first link, it suggests a decline in support February-July, but give no links to any polling showing that supposed decline. They do link to one survey where Biden leads Trump by 35 points with Latinos, but they do not give comparative numbers from 2016 or from earlier in the year, so there's really no way to verify that based on the link.
Again, though, it's difficult to discern trends because polling is done at different times by different pollsters, and election day voting is different than polls taken before that. I guess we'll see what happens.
Virginia's governor is not liked, the closeted racist dude Northam. He's pro late term abortion, pretty anti 2nd amendment and Virginia has only been "blue" since 2004's election. The DC suburban counties, Richmond and parts of Norfolk are blue. There's a huge red portion of VA--and they are voting in full force.
Clinton won in 2016 with about 222,000 votes over Trump. Trump can narrow that gap, and I think he will.
As for Florida, that's not voting Biden--too many old folks. NC is not happening either for Biden--solidly red.
Michigan, Wisconsin will both go Trump. Pennsylvania may be tighter, but Trump should carry it.
Sleepy Biden's toast man. "Come on man!" in the words of Biden. LOL
And yet all polling out of Virginia has Biden up double-digits. You are free to think that's overdone, but Trump isn't make the state competitive even if that were the case. 222,000 votes was with depressed Democratic turnout and one of the most hated politicians ever.
There were "too many old folks" in Florida in 2008 and 2012. That's not a serious argument.
NC is one of the 3 swing states are mostly likely to stick with Trump- the other 2 are Iowa and Ohio.
MI, WI and PA all continue to poll outside of the margin Trump moved them in 2016. There is no reason to believe polling is off that much, especially when pollsters are all already baking in supposed "shy Trump support".
I thought Colorado is pretty much Republican. Nevada, prob. Biden
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.
Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
