Welcome to City-Data.com Forum!
U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Politics and Other Controversies > Elections
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
Reply Start New Thread
 
Old 09-04-2020, 08:18 AM
 
14,141 posts, read 15,201,362 times
Reputation: 10596

Advertisements

Quote:
Originally Posted by jjbradleynyc View Post
Trump will add 2 states to his Electoral College total this November, from those he won in 2016:

New Hampshire: 4
Nevada: 6

Trump may also pick up these states, and they will be closer/competitive:

Minnesota: 10
Virginia: 13
New Mexico: 5

Trump is re-elected with 315 or so electoral votes, to Biden's 223 or so.

Biden may struggle to hit 220 though.
Based on what? What gives you the idea Trumpnjas expanded his coalition so that a blue state like VA would maybe flip?
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 09-04-2020, 08:31 AM
 
5,936 posts, read 4,723,692 times
Reputation: 4633
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cape Cod Todd View Post
It is funny how the Dems couldn't find Hillary's 30,000 emails but watch them find as many votes as needed to sway a county/ state as needed.
Nearly 24% of voters mailed in ballots in 2016. You don't think they would have done this in 2016 to beat Trump? Or in 2018 to keep that FL Senate seat?

It didn't happen in 2016 or 2018. Why would it happen in 2020? Well, we might actually see intentional electoral fraud due to the urging of one candidate towards his base...
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 09-04-2020, 08:39 AM
 
Location: Brooklyn, NY
10,166 posts, read 14,615,767 times
Reputation: 11477
Quote:
Originally Posted by btownboss4 View Post
Based on what? What gives you the idea Trumpnjas expanded his coalition so that a blue state like VA would maybe flip?
I'm not saying Trump wins VA, I'm saying he will narrow the gap.

You have to remember, VA voted red as recently as the 2004 election. Clinton won VA by 220,000 or so votes, but Northam is divisive and red voters and some moderate Democrats do not like his denials about him in the black face, and late term abortion stances. Also, attacking VA's 2nd amendment, Northam has caused a lot of outrage in VA.

Outside of the super blue DC suburbs, Richmond area and Norfolk, VA could be very competitive, and Trump could gain support in 2020. Add in Biden being a terrible candidate, and the Democrats will see their lead narrow.

I don't think he wins VA, but he makes it closer.

Trump has a much better shot to flip Minnesota. But we will see.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 09-04-2020, 08:45 AM
 
16,345 posts, read 18,174,260 times
Reputation: 7899
Quote:
Originally Posted by Cape Cod Todd View Post
Trump will win the EC and the popular vote will be close on election night but over the days and weeks after, votes for Biden will be found on loading docks, in mail trucks, in closets, in Bidens basement and stuffed under Pelosi's ice cream stock pile.

It is funny how the Dems couldn't find Hillary's 30,000 emails but watch them find as many votes as needed to sway a county/ state as needed.
Butter emails!

Also, what's your EC count and popular vote guess? Vagueness won't work in this thread. Let's see some numbers.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 09-04-2020, 08:52 AM
 
Location: FL
20,696 posts, read 12,596,764 times
Reputation: 5452
Quote:
Originally Posted by Zach911 View Post
While we're on the topic... if Joe shows his dementia in the debates for the world to see as seen here:

BIDEN: “COVID has taken this year, just since the outbreak, has taken more than 100 years... Look. Here's... The lives... It’s just... I mean, think about it. More lives this year than any other year, for the past hundred years."

You let it slide and still vote for him because you hate Trump that much. Correct? Anyone else? Can we get a CD poll on this? LOL
"I don't stand by anything." Donald Trump
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 09-04-2020, 08:53 AM
 
14,141 posts, read 15,201,362 times
Reputation: 10596
Quote:
Originally Posted by jjbradleynyc View Post
I'm not saying Trump wins VA, I'm saying he will narrow the gap.

You have to remember, VA voted red as recently as the 2004 election. Clinton won VA by 220,000 or so votes, but Northam is divisive and red voters and some moderate Democrats do not like his denials about him in the black face, and late term abortion stances. Also, attacking VA's 2nd amendment, Northam has caused a lot of outrage in VA.

Outside of the super blue DC suburbs, Richmond area and Norfolk, VA could be very competitive, and Trump could gain support in 2020. Add in Biden being a terrible candidate, and the Democrats will see their lead narrow.

I don't think he wins VA, but he makes it closer.

Trump has a much better shot to flip Minnesota. But we will see.
Governor and federal races are like two different worlds.

Like Baker got 66% of the vote while Warren got 61%.

Bill Weld got 70% of the vote in 1994 for Gov and then lost by 12 in the Senate Race in 1996.

VA has been trending Blue. If the nation shifts 3 pts toward Dems VA will likely move 5 pts left.

Plus Biden is in the real world a stronger candidate than Clinton by most every metric
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 09-04-2020, 09:00 AM
 
1,087 posts, read 1,956,543 times
Reputation: 1326
President Trump 362-176
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 09-04-2020, 09:01 AM
 
344 posts, read 127,439 times
Reputation: 256
Biden wins the popular vote by around 8 points. (52-44)
He will win every Hillary state, while also flipping AZ, FL, GA, NC, WI, MI, PA, OH, IA, TX, ME-02, and NE-02.
Trump is going out big in a 413 to 125 landslide against Biden.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 09-04-2020, 09:04 AM
 
5,936 posts, read 4,723,692 times
Reputation: 4633
What I find interesting is the high EV numbers some people are predicting for Trump. 362, 413, etc.

What is this based on? I know many Trump supporters (not saying those that posted those numbers are necessarily Trump supporters, but they might be) love to claim the polls are bogus and we can't trust them. What are those high EV predictions based on? Is it 100% "belief" or something else? What information did you use to make an educated(?) prediction?
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 09-04-2020, 09:06 AM
 
16,345 posts, read 18,174,260 times
Reputation: 7899
Quote:
Originally Posted by chaotix View Post
President Trump 362-176
So what states is Trump winning then?
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:


Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Politics and Other Controversies > Elections

All times are GMT -6. The time now is 11:23 PM.

© 2005-2024, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top