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Old 09-07-2020, 12:46 PM
 
5,286 posts, read 6,224,555 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Greenpastures23 View Post
Yep, Big media polls sure are accurate.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...nton-5659.html
Actually- Hillary's number in that poll was very close. The problem appears to be all alte deciders going towards Trump and lower voter turnout. If Trump gains 75% of late deciders again he would be 47.5 and Biden could limp across the finish line at 51. The big tell in recent polls has been that Biden is not mired in that 43-46% range Clinton had been across all the swing states.
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Old 09-07-2020, 01:55 PM
 
Location: Atlanta, GA
14,834 posts, read 7,426,754 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mrpeatie View Post
Actually- Hillary's number in that poll was very close. The problem appears to be all alte deciders going towards Trump and lower voter turnout. If Trump gains 75% of late deciders again he would be 47.5 and Biden could limp across the finish line at 51. The big tell in recent polls has been that Biden is not mired in that 43-46% range Clinton had been across all the swing states.
Yep. Biden’s averaging around 50% and its Trump that is stuck at 42-45%.
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Old 09-07-2020, 01:57 PM
 
1,041 posts, read 300,962 times
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Trump is a lock to win Wisconsin and Minnesota
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Old 09-07-2020, 02:11 PM
 
11,988 posts, read 5,306,729 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Greenpastures23 View Post
Trump is a lock to win Wisconsin and Minnesota
No, Trump is a lock to carry Kentucky and West Virginia.
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Old 09-07-2020, 02:21 PM
 
Location: Los Angeles
7,826 posts, read 2,735,940 times
Reputation: 3387
Quote:
Originally Posted by Greenpastures23 View Post
Trump is a lock to win Wisconsin and Minnesota
And herds of unicorns roam their fields

Last edited by JohnBoy64; 09-07-2020 at 02:32 PM..
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Old 09-07-2020, 03:37 PM
 
Location: FL
20,702 posts, read 12,553,151 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Greenpastures23 View Post
Rasmussen has Pennsylvania tied.

He's not down by this much in Wisconsin and tied in Pennsylvania.

Use some logic
The spread is showing Biden up 4.2 in Pennsylvania.
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Old 09-07-2020, 03:46 PM
 
Location: FL
20,702 posts, read 12,553,151 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by atltechdude View Post
Trump is down, therefore the poll must be wrong.


I'm sure Greenpastures23 can tell you just how this poll needs to be unskewed to make it accurate.
I still remember the Romney unskewed polls and that didn't work out how they were hoping.
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Old 09-07-2020, 04:26 PM
 
Location: az
13,817 posts, read 8,046,023 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Donna-501 View Post
I still remember the Romney unskewed polls and that didn't work out how they were hoping.
No, it was the turnout the Romney camp miscalculated. The battleground polls were basically tied:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...bama-1171.html
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Old 09-07-2020, 04:29 PM
 
Location: Richmond, VA
5,052 posts, read 6,355,685 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Greenpastures23 View Post
Trump is a lock to win Wisconsin and Minnesota
Denial is not just a river in Egypt, I see.
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Old 09-07-2020, 04:33 PM
 
Location: az
13,817 posts, read 8,046,023 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Donna-501 View Post
The spread is showing Biden up 4.2 in Pennsylvania.
The 7 and 8 are off. The scale of Biden’s advantage in the battlegrounds states is overstated.
https://www.city-data.com/forum/59080948-post23.html
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