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View Poll Results: Who will win Florida?
Biden 8 13.56%
Trump 51 86.44%
Voters: 59. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 09-14-2020, 11:28 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Daywalk View Post
I think Trump will win at least Florida / North Carolina / Ohio / Iowa / Georgia / Texas.

That gives him 247 electoral votes

Not sure about the rest... if he wins Pennsylvania plus one more state he will cross the finish line
Interesting to see what happens in Wisconsin, because Biden leads by 6.3 according to RCP, but Hillary led by 6.5 on November 7th and lost.
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Old 09-14-2020, 11:31 AM
 
Location: Los Angeles
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Eeko156 View Post
I agree. But I also think DT will take OH. Losing FL and OH will be really tough for Biden. Not mathematically impossible to still win, but certainly not ideal.
PA, Wi and MI are the key....Biden could lose FL, OH, NC, Ariz, and NV and win. Right now he is beyond the margin of error in all three of those states. I would much rather be Biden right now than Trump.
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Old 09-14-2020, 11:31 AM
 
11,049 posts, read 4,482,326 times
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Quote:
The poll shows both Trump and Biden with the support of 48% of likely voters in the Sunshine State, a key battleground in the 2020 presidential election.

Among registered Florida voters, Trump has a slim 48-47% edge over Biden in the poll.

Trump won Florida by just more than 1 percentage point four years ago over Hillary Clinton.

In a significant break from 2016, Trump holds the narrow edge over Biden among likely Latino voters, 50% to 46% – with Trump leading sizably among Latinos of Cuban descent, and with Biden just slightly ahead among all other Latinos in the state.

In the 2016 race, Clinton bested Trump among Florida Latinos, 62% to 35%, according to the exit poll.

Another major difference from 2016 is among seniors. The poll shows Biden with a slim lead among seniors in the state, 49% to 48%, but four years ago, Trump won Florida seniors, 57% to 40%, according to the exit poll.

Biden’s biggest advantages in Florida in the new poll are among Black likely voters (83% to 11%), women (57% to 40%) and independents (51% to 40%).

Trump, meanwhile, leads among men (58% to 38%), white voters (56% to 41%) and whites without college degrees (63% to 35%).

The poll of 766 likely voters was conducted from August 31 to Sept. 6 and included 35% of likely voters who identify as Republicans, 32% who identify as Democrats and 31% who identify as independents. The margin of error was plus or minus 4.5 percentage points.
https://www.nbcmiami.com/news/local/...-poll/2289483/
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Old 09-14-2020, 11:36 AM
 
Location: Boston
20,378 posts, read 9,260,448 times
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carpetbagging Mini Mike Bloomberg is heading down to Florida with $100 million dollars to try to buy Florida for Biden.....lol Guess he forgot he tried that before nationwide. How'd that work out?
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Old 09-14-2020, 11:58 AM
 
Location: Los Angeles
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Originally Posted by skeddy View Post
carpetbagging Mini Mike Bloomberg is heading down to Florida with $100 million dollars to try to buy Florida for Biden.....lol Guess he forgot he tried that before nationwide. How'd that work out?
Well $100 million won't do any damage to Biden and if it reduces Trumps margins with Black and Hispanics Biden will carry the state. This is one will be interesting to watch....Trump made it competitive by losing the white elderly vote.
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Old 09-14-2020, 12:39 PM
 
Location: Free State of Florida
26,457 posts, read 13,321,307 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bobdreamz View Post
Signs don't mean anything since who knows who put them up. The last 5 Presidential elections in Miami-Dade county were all won by the Democrat candidate. It's a BLUE county but hey whatever makes you sleep at night.
It will be a little less Blue this time. Latino's/Hispanics are increasingly breaking for Trump. Did you see the Trump caravan, or any of the Trump floatilla's?

How many Biden caravans, and floatilla's has there been there?

I know...none of that matters.

Well, have you seen the recent polls showing Hispanics breaking for Trump?

That doesn't matter either, does it?

Trump doesnt have to win Miami/Dade to win Florida. It will help greatly if Trump can improve upon his 2016 results there though, which I think will happen. Trump got 34% in '16, and I think he'll get 44% this time....~100,000 more Trump votes.
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Old 09-14-2020, 12:44 PM
 
Location: Los Angeles
7,817 posts, read 2,761,970 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by beach43ofus View Post
It will be a little less Blue this time. Latino's/Hispanics are increasingly breaking for Trump. Did you see the Trump caravan, or any of the Trump floatilla's?

How many Biden caravans, and floatilla's has there been there?

I know...none of that matters.

Well, have you seen the recent polls showing Hispanics breaking for Trump?

That doesn't matter either, does it?

Trump doesnt have to win Miami/Dade to win Florida. It will help greatly if Trump can improve upon his 2016 results there though, which I think will happen.
Trump has lost alot of white old folks vote that is the wild card. And the Suburban women will crawl over glass to get him out of office. Too many pully's and levers in this state to get a handle on it. Trump won by 1 percent in 2016.
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Old 09-14-2020, 12:55 PM
 
Location: Atlanta, GA
14,831 posts, read 7,464,841 times
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I was on the fence here, since this state is trending Trump, but I voted Biden for now because Bloomberg just announced he is dumping $100 mil into this state for Biden. And Biden is still leading by a bit at present, so I'm keeping it in the Biden column for now.
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Old 09-14-2020, 01:03 PM
 
Location: Free State of Florida
26,457 posts, read 13,321,307 times
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If Biden has Florida in the bag as you say, and as most polls say, then why is Michael Bloomberg spending $100,000,000 to promote Joe Biden in Florida?

Why not spend that money in a state that is still in play?

You never addressed how Florida's Latino's are breaking big for Trump now....why that?

How do you think the Debates will shake out for Biden's Florida chances?
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Old 09-14-2020, 01:05 PM
 
Location: Atlanta, GA
14,831 posts, read 7,464,841 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by beach43ofus View Post
If Biden has Florida in the bag as you say
Never said that.

I said I'm currently keeping it in the Biden column.
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