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All this talk of Trump needing to win MN, MI, WI is so wrong when it comes to swing states. Trump needs to win PA, FL which he will easily win. After that he needs one more state, it can be OH, NV, AZ. He is going to win Ohio most likely, probably AZ and maybe even NV.
All of this talk about national polls etc is irrelevant as it do not impact the state he needs to win to be reelected.
Your math is wrong. Even if Trump takes both FL and PA, he still needs all 3 of the other states you mentioned. He has to take OH, AZ, AND NV and he is STILL short of 270. That’s why he needs at least one upper Midwest state.
Your math is wrong. Even if Trump takes both FL and PA, he still needs all 3 of the other states you mentioned. He has to take OH, AZ, AND NV and he is STILL short of 270. That’s why he needs at least one upper Midwest state.
President Trump could lose PA, MI and WI and win Nevada and New Hampshire and get to 270.
It’s going to be a very informative election for the Republicans! The democrats are going to have their entire system exposed. Why? Cause Biden is quite possible the weakest candidate in the entire life of the Democrat party.... this is a literal 99% incumbent vs 1% challenger... the result will show where the Democrat strength is and where they are weakest... study it! Then prepare for 2024...
Welp. My math was wrong too. You’re right, that’s theoretically possible. I think he his best shot is to take FL (50/50 shot) and PA (underdog, but still possible), keep OH (very likely) and keep AZ. I don’t think it likely for NV to flip.
...Biden is quite possible the weakest candidate in the entire life of the Democrat party...
Not to mention the dadgum WEIRDEST!
“I got hairy legs that turn blonde in the sun. And the kids use to come
up and rub my leg. I learned about roaches, and I learned about kids
jumping on my lap......and I love kids jumping on my lap.” - Joe Biden
Welp. My math was wrong too. You’re right, that’s theoretically possible. I think he his best shot is to take FL (50/50 shot) and PA (underdog, but still possible), keep OH (very likely) and keep AZ. I don’t think it likely for NV to flip.
If Trump takes NC which i think he got good chances of doing, he don't even need PA. Here is how the map looks.
PA is leaning blue, as is WI, MN, NV, MI and AZ. I think it boils down to 289 Biden 248 Trump.
If FL or NC goes blue- game over.
And I think Biden's late stage fundraising is KILLING Trumps. They've plowed through damn near 1B in cash and still behind. I think Biden will haul in another $350-400MM in September if not more. And these are small $ donors which = voters.
Trump would need to come back in AZ and OH for this scenario to work. I've seen worse though, this is at least in the realm of possibility, though AZ is trending blue right now.
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