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Old 10-05-2020, 11:25 AM
 
1,041 posts, read 300,098 times
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https://mobile.twitter.com/KUWT_Jone...60698231435264

And that's averaging all the crap polls

 
Old 10-05-2020, 11:41 AM
 
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RCP includes insane D+9 polls of unlikely voters, so it is worthless at this point. If RCP did not include the now-'adjusted' USC poll in 2016, HRC would have been ahead by double-digits then.
 
Old 10-05-2020, 11:48 AM
 
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Biden's up 5.8% if you ignore a bunch of polls where his margins are higher and where partisan "unskewing" is done.

Good luck with that.

Also, I just want to point out that, even in your worst case scenario, Biden would still easily win the popular vote- you know, what you're constantly claiming Trump has a chance with- by nearly 3x Clinton's margin. No incumbent or candidate has ever won the presidency with a popular vote loss above 3 points. This is called desperation.
 
Old 10-05-2020, 11:49 AM
 
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Take out all the crap +10 D polls it's about even.

Sorry for your loss
 
Old 10-05-2020, 11:52 AM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Greenpastures23 View Post
Take out all the crap +10 D polls it's about even.

Sorry for your loss
"Remove all information you don't like and simply create the reality you're comfortable with!"
 
Old 10-05-2020, 12:02 PM
 
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Yep, polls oversampling by 10 are reliable.

After Trump wins the polling industry needs to be purged
 
Old 10-05-2020, 12:04 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Greenpastures23 View Post
Yep, polls oversampling by 10 are reliable.

After Trump wins the polling industry needs to be purged
Polling averages are the way to go, not individual polls. Those have a very good, reliable record. Not that you care about that.
 
Old 10-05-2020, 12:06 PM
 
1,041 posts, read 300,098 times
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So good Hillary was favored by 7 to win Wisconsin
 
Old 10-05-2020, 12:18 PM
 
8,940 posts, read 2,962,691 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Greenpastures23 View Post
So good Hillary was favored by 7 to win Wisconsin
Yep and 3.6 in Michigan.
 
Old 10-05-2020, 12:21 PM
 
23,654 posts, read 17,504,702 times
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rw_8yqYWj-U
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