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I don’t like projections because American politics is volatile. I will simply say that one is better off being in Biden’s shoes than Trump's at this stage, and that it is obvious whose campaign strategy needs course correction. A Biden +5 in IA (NYT/Siena today) with seniors massively breaking for Biden should be a five alarm event for the Trump campaign. Early voting has begun in many states, and there will be far fewer late-breaking undecideds this cycle. Voter interest and turnout are also shattering records. These are poor prognostic factors for the ailing Trump campaign.
Trump will win, because so many Dems are disappointed in the selection of Biden and also fear that Harris will become POTUS, and/or that the US will become like the current situations in local/state governments run by Democrats.
Trump did a good job. We just need to flip the House, and we'll be on a run toward saving our country!
I am fearful Biden will win. He won’t last a year in office and Harris will be first female president. What a great role model for females - sleep around to get ahead, even the presidency.
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