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Old 10-07-2020, 11:25 AM
 
3,285 posts, read 1,355,396 times
Reputation: 2730

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Quote:
Originally Posted by TXRunner View Post
With the debate and the COVID diagnosis, this is not a big surprise. The dying down of the violence from the left is also helping Biden. We'll see if Trump is able to course correct or if we will be welcoming President Kamala into the White House.
It is not too late for campaign staffers to speak up. The press and donors are effective tools and they welcome insight. They can help reshape campaign strategy.
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Old 10-07-2020, 11:25 AM
 
30,358 posts, read 11,975,266 times
Reputation: 18810
Quote:
Originally Posted by hellopity View Post
The probability of Trump winning the EC with a 12 point national deficit is <0.01%.

Waiting for the inevitable Trump tweet slamming Rasmussen.



3 2 1...
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Old 10-07-2020, 11:27 AM
 
1,041 posts, read 302,285 times
Reputation: 277
I think the Rasmussen poll is going to be a good example of how ever increasing nonresponse error and social desirability bias are making accurate polling impossible even for the guys who want to be honest
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Old 10-07-2020, 11:31 AM
 
2,973 posts, read 1,987,016 times
Reputation: 1080
Bottom line: most Americans have seen through how Trump has completely failed to lead the country at the time of crisis. His economic agenda may be agreed by some, but there is really no way the economy can pick up at full speed UNTIL the virus is contained... most stores and businesses are operating at like 50-75% capacity so you really CANNOT pretend the virus is just a flu. It really isn’t.

Trump has been on self-destruct mode for quite some time. It’s not funny how he really screwed the country with his attitude and lack of seriousness towards the virus.
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Old 10-07-2020, 11:32 AM
 
1,041 posts, read 302,285 times
Reputation: 277
If Biden had an actual double digit lead, the Creepy Old Sniffer would be campaigning in TX & Kansas, and Team Trump would still be buying ads in OH & Iowa

They're not b/c OH & Iowa are now securely Trump, and that money is better spent in MN, NV, & AZ
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Old 10-07-2020, 11:33 AM
 
1,041 posts, read 302,285 times
Reputation: 277
Quote:
Originally Posted by Daywalk View Post
Bottom line: most Americans have seen through how Trump has completely failed to lead the country at the time of crisis. His economic agenda may be agreed by some, but there is really no way the economy can pick up at full speed UNTIL the virus is contained... most stores and businesses are operating at like 50-75% capacity so you really CANNOT pretend the virus is just a flu. It really isn’t.

Trump has been on self-destruct mode for quite some time. It’s not funny how he really screwed the country with his attitude and lack of seriousness towards the virus.

Biden has been in senile mode for quite some time. He's gonna get shellacked. Sorry
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Old 10-07-2020, 11:35 AM
 
16,345 posts, read 18,144,078 times
Reputation: 7899
Quote:
Originally Posted by beach43ofus View Post
Did Rasmussen get the electoral college tally right in 2016 when Trump trounced Hillary?

Why would you belive them this time?
Pretty sure you were one of those Trump supporters praising Rasmussen earlier in the year.
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Old 10-07-2020, 11:36 AM
 
1,041 posts, read 302,285 times
Reputation: 277
If youth turnout craters as predicted and as early vote by mail is indicating, they're gonna need a mercy rule for what Trump will do to Biden
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Old 10-07-2020, 11:38 AM
 
Location: Denver CO
24,201 posts, read 19,321,347 times
Reputation: 38273
Everyone know that only polls that have Trump ahead are valid, the other ones don't count

But we will stop Trumplings from trying to apply that standard to the actual election results, as much as Trump himself is urging them to do it
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Old 10-07-2020, 11:38 AM
 
2,633 posts, read 2,692,630 times
Reputation: 6514
Quote:
Originally Posted by hellopity View Post
It is not too late for campaign staffers to speak up. The press and donors are effective tools and they welcome insight. They can help reshape campaign strategy.
I agree. People have very short memories and a campaign can change course very quickly. A good debate might be all it takes, but who knows if Trump can pull that off if he can't dial back the intensity.
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