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Good news from Rasmussen this morning. A newly released (4-5) poll in NC has Obama up by a whopping 23% at 56%-33%. Meanwhile nationally Obama has opened a 10% lead (51%-41%) over a struggling Hillary Clinton.
The significance of the NC poll is Clinton needs to win somewhere she's not expected to win. Looks like NC isn't going to be the place. If Obama can put together a strong showing in Pa., then a big win in NC, she should drop out.
I doubt if she drops out even then. Her phillospy is; If I cant win nobody wins! She is ready to bring down the entire Democratic Party with her if she is not nominated.
The only peeps talking about Mrs Clinton dropping out are Obama supporters. She is close and is staying in! Lots of blacks here are upset with Obama about him lying about that preacher. They might be going over to Mrs Clinton.
He will NEVER lose the black vote! Not saying all will vote for him, but he will get 85%, similar to MS. Some people don't see this pastor story as a lie. I certainly don't. He came forward and explained and some will accept it and some will not. The same with all of Hillary Clintons' lies. Her supporters will stand behind regardless of all her lies and some will see her as someone who cannot be trusted and one whom has lost all credibility.
Thats a big margin and its big enough to widen the pledge delegate gap quite a bit. A big win in North Carolina (the last big delegate state) will sway most of the super delegates to Obama's side. As USA Today stated, North Carolina will be the state that makes it clear who the nominee will, especially if Hillary only wins Pennsylvania by a small margin or even loses Pennsylvania all together. Hillary will stay in the race til the last state has voted trying to put a spin on why she should be the nominee but the enevitable is that Obama will win the nomination. The writing is already on the wall for Hillary.
Thats a big margin and its big enough to widen the pledge delegate gap quite a bit. A big win in North Carolina (the last big delegate state) will sway most of the super delegates to Obama's side. As USA Today stated, North Carolina will be the state that makes it clear who the nominee will, especially if Hillary only wins Pennsylvania by a small margin or even loses Pennsylvania all together. Hillary will stay in the race til the last state has voted trying to put a spin on why she should be the nominee but the enevitable is that Obama will win the nomination. The writing is already on the wall for Hillary.
It would be hard for her to justify staying in the race if she loses Pa. A new ARG poll in Pa. now has the race tied at 45%. This poll just two weeks ago had Clinton up 51%-39%. It continues a trend showing in all the Pa. polls...that of Obama surging. You're correct, the writing is on the wall.
The North Carolina debate between Hillary and Obama will be held in Raleigh at the RBC Center April 27th. CBS will broadcast the debate at 8 pm and Katie Couric and Bob Schieffer will moderate.
Good news from Rasmussen this morning. A newly released (4-5) poll in NC has Obama up by a whopping 23% at 56%-33%. Meanwhile nationally Obama has opened a 10% lead (51%-41%) over a struggling Hillary Clinton.
The significance of the NC poll is Clinton needs to win somewhere she's not expected to win. Looks like NC isn't going to be the place. If Obama can put together a strong showing in Pa., then a big win in NC, she should drop out.
What a difference a couple weeks make. I only point this out to show the degree of his collapse and that it would be surprising to see 1/3 of his past votes swing to Hillary if voting were to be done today.
I think Obama needs to win in Indiana to show he can win a contested race. Other than that it is on to the convention and the super deleagtes. He also must win big in NC were he is expect to; as clnton did in pennsyvania.
He s won 32 states to 16; it will come down to superdelegates and they end it in NC She 's already pledging to help him but we will see
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