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I don't know the reason, but he certainly seemed over the top. I stopped reading this forum when his threads started eclipsing 50% of of the page 1 listing.
I think the realization that many will need to come to grips with is that national polls accurately predicted 17 of the last 19 elections. 2016 was forecasted via polls as a close election. Nevermind the talking heads. RCP No Toss Up map had Clinton 272 to Trump 266. That was with Clinton having a +3.2 lead in RCP average of polls.
Trump won that election by tight margins in PA, MI and WI (77,000 votes combined) while losing NV (which was forecast for Trump). That's where his 40 EV votes come from to seal the victory.
National Polls were off by only 1.1 points, which is very small. And many states had forecast a close election in many states.
In 2020, Biden currently has a +10.6 lead and could lose all the Biden +5 or less state and still win this election. Essentially, we'd need a polling error about 5-7 times larger than in 2016. The walls are definitely closing in on Trump now. If he doesn't pick up support very soon, there will not be much drama on Election Night.
Where's Greenpastures? He was touting the IDP polls last week showing Trump almost tied.
I believe the last poll was Oct 2nd and had Biden up 2.7. That was taken before the debate. Post debate the polling has really gone south for Trump. It might end up being the defining moment in the election.
I believe the last poll was Oct 2nd and had Biden up 2.7. That was taken before the debate. Post debate the polling has really gone south for Trump. It might end up being the defining moment in the election.
That and the fact he got COVID and turned the White House into a coronavirus hotspot through his own recklessness.
Those two things will likely define this election, unless an even greater bombshell drops that totally erodes Biden's lead in the next 3 weeks.
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