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Old 11-03-2020, 09:03 AM
 
19,573 posts, read 8,534,291 times
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The Democrats appear to be trying to cheat in Pennsylvania.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:05 AM
 
Location: Los Angeles
7,826 posts, read 2,735,357 times
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RCP is being pretty selective with their polls they publish

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/st...70612367626240

Quote:
@williamjordann
· 12h
the RCP average for PA now entirely excludes this weekend's 1800 interview NYT/Siena poll, for some reason.

(Trafalgar finished fieldwork the same day or earlier and is included, along with Insider Advantage and Susquehanna, two other GOP-aligned pollsters)
Sienna/NY Times Oct. 27-31 44% 47% Biden +3

Quinnipiac University Oct. 28-Nov. 1 42% 47% Biden +5
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:16 AM
 
Location: az
13,814 posts, read 8,039,961 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Variable View Post
This is normal in close elections because undecided voters make their decision just prior to election day, making the polls closer. It's not due to some nefarious pollsters. 8% undecideds picking a choice will make the polls tighter than when 8% are undecided.

In other words polling data doesn't mean a whole lot until last call. That's the number which counts towards the reputation of polling firms.
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Old 11-03-2020, 09:18 AM
 
Location: Los Angeles
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And it looks ike they cherry picking spammy polls
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Old 11-13-2020, 10:42 AM
 
5,867 posts, read 4,190,000 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by paracord View Post
HAHA!

First of all, the last person to win the general election by 9 points was Reagan in 1984.

That is simply not possible nowadays.

Secondly, if you ARE winning the national vote by 9 points, YOU ARE GOING TO WIN OHIO.

Period.

You'll see.
Biden will likely win the national vote by about 5% now. He lost Ohio by 8%. That is a 13% spread. He could have easily lost Ohio even if he had won the national vote by 9%.
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