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Trump had more votes in the Republican Primary than Biden....even though no one was seriously contending the nomination.
Now that's enthusiasm!
That isn't enthusiasm, there was nobody else to vote for except Bill Weld, and he still got 13K votes.
Look at the total voter turnout in NH for Republicans versus Democrats, Dem turnout was well over twice the number.
Now THAT is enthusiasm. You think any of those Democrats are voting for Trump? Highly unlikely. But some of those Bill Weld voters might be voting for Biden.
Projected vote share of early voting in 6 key states :
Pennsylvania (1.2 mil votes) : Biden 73 vs 27 Trump
Michigan (1.8 mil votes) : Biden 62 vs 38 Trump
Wisconsin (844k votes) : Biden 61 vs 39 Trump
Arizona (1.1 mil votes) : Biden 58 vs 42 Trump
North Carolina (2.1 mil votes) : Biden 57 vs 43 Trump
Florida (4.2 mil votes) : Biden 56 vs 44 Trump
You have some failed logic thinking all those registered Dem votes in PA, MI and WI are all going to Biden. Lots of registered blue collar whites that will be voting for Trump.
And take PA for example aprox 6 million people voted there in 2016. So 1.2 is just over 1/6th of the total votes to be cast. None of this means much.
Projected vote share of early voting in 6 key states :
Pennsylvania (1.2 mil votes) : Biden 73 vs 27 Trump
Michigan (1.8 mil votes) : Biden 62 vs 38 Trump
Wisconsin (844k votes) : Biden 61 vs 39 Trump
Arizona (1.1 mil votes) : Biden 58 vs 42 Trump
North Carolina (2.1 mil votes) : Biden 57 vs 43 Trump Florida (4.2 mil votes) : Biden 56 vs 44 Trump
For those who believe in polls...
I just heard on the Sean Hannity show from a pollster he had on the air, that in Florida, Republicans lead Democrats in in-person early voting by 145,000. He said that didn't include mail ins, just in-person early voting.
I dont know what percent that is, Red over Blue, but I'm guessing its within 5%, so early in-person voting leans Trump. The figure given above might just be mail-ins.
Both pollsters Hannity had on the air an hour ago, said they see Florida going for Trump!
I'm not sure what polls they are with, I half listened because I was driving and I dont believe much in polls.
I got the Florida part right though!
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