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Old 10-26-2020, 10:20 AM
 
5,881 posts, read 4,197,680 times
Reputation: 7690

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Quote:
Originally Posted by MAGAalot View Post
2020 has been a hundred times more violent than 2016, so there will be a lot more silent voters this year.
Antifa Lives Matter has made sure of the silent voter.
But even with the silent voter factor, Trump only trails by 1.5 in Florida
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/el...ground-states/
What is your evidence that 2020 has been more violent than 2016? Violent crime statistics haven't been released yet.
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Old 10-26-2020, 10:27 AM
 
Location: Los Angeles
7,825 posts, read 2,737,263 times
Reputation: 3387
There will be a very large African American turnout combined with a high youth turnout. It's all about who shows up and votes.

Black Americans are fired up and flocking to the polls

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/26/polit...rnd/index.html

This should not be surprising when we have a president that in the words of GOP Senator Ben Sasse claims "flirts with "white supremacist". This is also killing Trump with Suburban women.
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Old 10-26-2020, 11:35 AM
 
Location: Free State of Florida
25,868 posts, read 12,901,647 times
Reputation: 19413
What if all these black voters are showing out for Trump?

Maybe, they feel betrayed by 50 years of urban decay, & failed schools. Maybe they are tired of Democrat hired & trained police brutalizing & killing them. They have not seen a Republican leader in sight in these urban areas in decades, so there's only 1 political party left to blame for the blight....Democrats.

Many of them felt so betrayed by local Dem leaders, they joined the #walkaway movement; that is now 500,000+ strong.

Maybe riots, and looting, just aren't their thing. Maybe the rampant illegal drug scene on the coner, has them on edge. Maybe seeing homeless people all over the sidewalks urinating & deficating in public repulses them.

Many of them probably saw the Baltimore Republican candidate's tv commercial titled "what Democrats don't want you to see"

Then, there's the "if you aint black" gaffe by Biden that insulted so many of them. Plus, they might know that Joe's 1994 crime bill locked a lot of low level drug dealers away, the Kamal prosecuted them.

Maybe they like Trump's opportunity zones, aid to black colleges, record-high employment & rising wages in his first 3 years. They likely see Trumps prison reform as a step in the right diretion.

If Trump gets 15% of the black vote, political experts say he'll be re-elected.


Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnBoy64 View Post
There will be a very large African American turnout combined with a high youth turnout. It's all about who shows up and votes.

Black Americans are fired up and flocking to the polls

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/26/polit...rnd/index.html

This should not be surprising when we have a president that in the words of GOP Senator Ben Sasse claims "flirts with "white supremacist". This is also killing Trump with Suburban women.
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Old 10-26-2020, 11:50 AM
 
Location: az
13,838 posts, read 8,059,821 times
Reputation: 9445
Quote:
Originally Posted by beach43ofus View Post
What if all these black voters are showing out for Trump?

Maybe, they feel betrayed by 50 years of urban decay, & failed schools. Maybe they are tired of Democrat hired & trained police brutalizing & killing them. They have not seen a Republican leader in sight in these urban areas in decades, so there's only 1 political party left to blame for the blight....Democrats.

Many of them felt so betrayed by local Dem leaders, they joined the #walkaway movement; that is now 500,000+ strong.

Maybe riots, and looting, just aren't their thing. Maybe the rampant illegal drug scene on the coner, has them on edge. Maybe seeing homeless people all over the sidewalks urinating & deficating in public repulses them.

Many of them probably saw the Baltimore Republican candidate's tv commercial titled "what Democrats don't want you to see"

Then, there's the "if you aint black" gaffe by Biden that insulted so many of them. Plus, they might know that Joe's 1994 crime bill locked a lot of low level drug dealers away, the Kamal prosecuted them.

Maybe they like Trump's opportunity zones, aid to black colleges, record-high employment & rising wages in his first 3 years. They likely see Trumps prison reform as a step in the right diretion.

If Trump gets 15% of the black vote, political experts say he'll be re-elected.

And I think that's very possible. IMO, the Black Trump vote will be one of the biggest stories of the 2020 election.
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Old 10-26-2020, 11:57 AM
 
5,881 posts, read 4,197,680 times
Reputation: 7690
Quote:
Originally Posted by beach43ofus View Post
What if all these black voters are showing out for Trump?

Maybe they are tired of Democrat hired & trained police brutalizing & killing them.
So they would vote for a candidate who denies that this is even happening in any sort of systemic way?
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Old 10-26-2020, 12:06 PM
 
Location: Arizona
13,324 posts, read 7,362,767 times
Reputation: 10125
Quote:
Originally Posted by john3232 View Post
And I think that's very possible. IMO, the Black Trump vote will be one of the biggest stories of the 2020 election.
BET and CBS News poll shows black voters were 90% for Joe Biden with 88% of them mostly concerned with health care and Covid-19 not Hunter Bidens laptop. I highly doubt Trump is going to get more then 2% of the black vote. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/biden-t...ll-10-25-2020/
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Old 10-26-2020, 12:37 PM
 
1,838 posts, read 680,106 times
Reputation: 669
I wouldnt be surprised if Trump got more Black votes in 2020 than he did in 2016 from mostly males, but Biden getting far more Black votes as well than Hillary Clinton from 2016. Thus, far more turnout overall but Biden doing better percentage wise than Clinton from 2016 than Trump from his 2016 numbers.
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Old 10-26-2020, 12:55 PM
 
Location: az
13,838 posts, read 8,059,821 times
Reputation: 9445
Quote:
Originally Posted by g555 View Post
I wouldnt be surprised if Trump got more Black votes in 2020 than he did in 2016 from mostly males, but Biden getting far more Black votes as well than Hillary Clinton from 2016. Thus, far more turnout overall but Biden doing better percentage wise than Clinton from 2016 than Trump from his 2016 numbers.
Not according to..

African American voters were 22% of the early electorate in 2016; at this point they are 20.5% of the electorate. That’s probably not what we would expect in a Democratic wave year when Republicans are being encouraged to vote on Election Day and Democrats are supposedly avoiding it.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ar...ta_144527.html
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Old 10-26-2020, 03:03 PM
 
10,821 posts, read 4,372,850 times
Reputation: 5850
Quote:
Originally Posted by john3232 View Post
Not according to..

African American voters were 22% of the early electorate in 2016; at this point they are 20.5% of the electorate. That’s probably not what we would expect in a Democratic wave year when Republicans are being encouraged to vote on Election Day and Democrats are supposedly avoiding it.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ar...ta_144527.html
Yikes.
Not a good sign for Democrats.
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Old 10-26-2020, 03:46 PM
 
5,582 posts, read 2,315,784 times
Reputation: 4809
Quote:
Originally Posted by john3232 View Post
Not according to..

African American voters were 22% of the early electorate in 2016; at this point they are 20.5% of the electorate. That’s probably not what we would expect in a Democratic wave year when Republicans are being encouraged to vote on Election Day and Democrats are supposedly avoiding it.
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ar...ta_144527.html

That's for NC, not Florida.
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