Rasmussen "White House Watch" - Trump takes the lead in the national popular vote (campaign, drug)

[paracord]

Originally Posted by atltechdude

I don't believe any of their polls are especially accurate.

When your results fluctuate that wildly in an environment where they clearly haven't in reality, it shows that the methodology is not very sound.

How do you know they haven't in reality?

There's a large portion of the electorate that barely even pays attention to politics until the final week or two.

[Spartacus713]

Originally Posted by atltechdude

I don't believe any of their polls are especially accurate.

When your results fluctuate that wildly in an environment where they clearly haven't in reality, it shows that the methodology is not very sound.

You are cherry-picking. I am so surprised. {Sarcasm}

[greywar]

Originally Posted by robrelo

The most accurate poll in 2016. Hillary did have a 99% chance of winning. lol

Really? Show me a reputable poll that said that in the last month of the election.



Do it and I will donate $10 to the non-political charity of your choice.

[Spartacus713]

If President Trump wins the national popular vote, who here believes he will not also win the election?

[evilnewbie]

Trump 2020... Everyone on board the MAGA train! Choo! Choo!

[atltechdude]

Originally Posted by paracord

How do you know they haven't in reality?

Joe Biden's lead has been stable at around 7-8 points for the last year in the polling average.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...iden-6247.html

Seriously, go to RCP and look at the line that goes straight through Biden's entire graph. It's 50 percent.

Look at the line that goes straight through Trump's. It's 42 percent.

That's still basically where we are a year later.

Joe Biden's lead is the most stable in the history of modern presidential politics and the suggestion that Donald Trump has now taken over the national popular vote lead couldn't be more laughable.

[atltechdude]

Originally Posted by Spartacus713

If President Trump wins the national popular vote, who here believes he will not also win the election?

President Trump currently has a 4% chance to win the national popular vote (538).

If that happened though, of course he would also win the election.

[ColoradoOnMyMind]

Momentum has been building since the last debate, can Trump pull it off again?

[Spartacus713]

Originally Posted by ColoradoOnMyMind

Momentum has been building since the last debate, can Trump pull it off again?

If President Trump wins the national popular vote on his way to winning re-election, the Democrat left is going to have to come to grips with the fact that their world view is very badly broken.

[greywar]

Originally Posted by Spartacus713

If President Trump wins the national popular vote on his way to winning re-election, the Democrat left is going to have to come to grips with the fact that their world view is very badly broken.

And if Biden wins the popular vote, and the electoral vote then Republicans are going to have to do the same.


I predicted Trumps win in 2016 because thats what the data indicated. The data indicates he will lose this time barring some new development. Facts matter. There is no way he would win the popular vote if held now. And everyone knows this. I doubt many Republicans believe that will happen this time.