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Agreed... I'm sure it depends on where they come from, but the ones from New England/NY/NJ are generally democrats. I also know quite a few from Michigan/Wisconsin, and I'd say 2/3 lean republican and 1/3 lean democrat. The few I know from Canada are mostly democrat with one republican in the bunch.
Obviously that's just from my personal vantage point.
Yeah, it all really depends. I know a bunch of New Yorkers down here and they're all Republican for instance. But that's because they work in finance, so I suppose that's a factor.
Florida?
Trump won by 100,000 votes while losing Miami-Dade by 300,000 votes. Trump will do better in Miami-Dade and that will win him the state.
He won Texas by 1.1M votes. It won't be close this year, either. Hillary only won the border areas and Trump will do better in those areas this time.
Margin in Texas was about 797k in 2016, down from 1.26m in 2012. The areas Clinton picked up the most ground in from Obama in 2012 were the metros, Houston, Dallas, Austin and San Antonio That will certainly continue this year. If it will be enough to flip the state remains to be seen, but all the signs are showing the state will be considerably closer this year than 2016.
He won Texas by 1.1M votes. It won't be close this year, either. Hillary only won the border areas and Trump will do better in those areas this time.
I do expect Trump to win Texas narrowly (no more than 5%), but Clinton carried a number of highly populated counties that are far away from the border. Turnout has been high in counties such as Travis (metro Austin), Dallas (metro Dallas), Harris and Fort Bend (metro Houston), all of which are increasingly solid blue strongholds. Republicans already win the smaller metro/rural non-border areas by huge margins, so Trump doesn't have a lot of room for growth in such places.
Texas will turn blue in the next couple decades. It may not be this election, but it is inevitable. Changing demographics and social norms are tides that cannot be changed. If the GOP does not evolve, it will soon learn the fate of a permanent electoral minority.
No. Texas might turn blue if the 2 Democrats on the ticket were blue collar conservatives pro life and pro second amendment and low taxes from the south not 2 liberals from Delaware and San Francisco.
A JFK and LBJ Democrats could win Texas but those Democrats are long gone from the party.
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