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An earthquake is building in Tuesday's California elections that could rattle the political landscape from coast to coast.
In Los Angeles and San Francisco, two of the nation's most liberal large cities, voters are poised to send stinging messages of discontent over mounting public disorder, as measured in both upticks in certain kinds of crime and pervasive homelessness.
That dissatisfaction could translate into the recall of San Francisco's left-leaning district attorney, Chesa Boudin, likely by a resounding margin, and a strong showing in the Los Angeles mayoral primary by Rick Caruso, a billionaire real estate developer and former Republican who has emerged as the leading alternative in the race to Democratic US Rep. Karen Bass, once considered the front-runner.
I doubt any changes in CA. Liberals/dems are brainwashed and never connect personal financial misery and poor business environment to terrible liberal policy.
Liberals have now convinced themselves (as they privately KNOW that Biden is a disaster) that these bad economic conditions would have befalled ANY president. Of course, this is nonsense, as Biden's liberal policies have created the inflation, record gas prices, rising interest rates, falling GDP and falling markets.
As they have abandoned critical thinking, liberals simply cannot fathom that they have been 100% wrong thier whole lives and thus seek absurd rationalizations for continued dem support.
Sorry, uggabugga. In this case, you're wrong. This state is so seeped in blue, it will never change. In fact, I knew how the election would go, I didn't even bother to vote in the primary today. It would be a waste of my time. I used to enjoy election time when we were a bit more balanced. You never knew who would win which kinda made it exciting. That ship has sailed.
Granted there's still a lot of vote still out as I write this, but democrats are doing almost stunningly well in CA tonight. I also didn't know until a short while ago that CA has a "top-two" primary in which the top 2 of any party are the ones who make it to the general election. Interesting idea.
In congressional races, there are NO races in which the top 2 vote getters are both republicans. But there are 7 races where both of the top 2 vote getters are democrats (or in the case of CA-10, the 2nd vote-getter is a Green Party candidate).
As I write this, the democrat with the lowest vote percentage in a statewide race is Lieutenant Governor with 56%.
Also in congressional districts, most of the competitive districts are going for the democrats, or are very close. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...ps/california/
^
-- CA-03 is supposed to be an R+8 district, but as I write this the democrat is beating the republican by 10 points.
-- CA-40 is supposed to be an R+4 district, but as I write this the democrat is beating the republican by 15 points.
-- CA-41 is supposed to be an R+7 district, but as I write this the democrat and republican are nearly tied.
-- CA-45 is supposed to be a D+5 district, and as I write this the democrat is ahead by 2-3 points. But only about half the vote is in.
The possible exception, so far, is CA-27: it's supposed to be a D+8 district, but as I write this the dem and GOP candidates are almost tied.
Granted there's still a lot of vote still out as I write this, but democrats are doing almost stunningly well in CA tonight. I also didn't know until a short while ago that CA has a "top-two" primary in which the top 2 of any party are the ones who make it to the general election. Interesting idea.
In congressional races, there are NO races in which the top 2 vote getters are both republicans. But there are 7 races where both of the top 2 vote getters are democrats (or in the case of CA-10, the 2nd vote-getter is a Green Party candidate).
As I write this, the democrat with the lowest vote percentage in a statewide race is Lieutenant Governor with 56%.
Also in congressional districts, most of the competitive districts are going for the democrats, or are very close. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...ps/california/
^
-- CA-03 is supposed to be an R+8 district, but as I write this the democrat is beating the republican by 10 points.
-- CA-40 is supposed to be an R+4 district, but as I write this the democrat is beating the republican by 15 points.
-- CA-41 is supposed to be an R+7 district, but as I write this the democrat and republican are nearly tied.
-- CA-45 is supposed to be a D+5 district, and as I write this the democrat is ahead by 2-3 points. But only about half the vote is in.
The possible exception, so far, is CA-27: it's supposed to be a D+8 district, but as I write this the dem and GOP candidates are almost tied.
This is a misleading argument. In the CA 03 (and I suspect the other districts you are discussing above ) there is no incumbent Republican candidate and the district attracted three fairly competitive Republican candidates which split the Republican vote whereas the Democratic vote consolidated around one candidate in the primary. Because the vote is split three ways, no single Republican candidate did as well as the leading Democratic candidate in that district in the open primary, but that doesn't mean in the general election in November that the Democrats are going to carry the CA 03.
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