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Old 07-28-2022, 08:27 PM
 
Location: Arizona
13,278 posts, read 7,316,697 times
Reputation: 10103

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Democrats are going to flip the PA senate seat I suspect there be a few other seats flipped as well but it won't be enough to get past 60 votes. That will be enough to get past the control Manchin has had to pass budget reconciliation bills which don't require 60 votes. This all hinges on dems holding on to the house.
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Old 07-29-2022, 06:56 AM
exm
 
3,723 posts, read 1,781,830 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kell490 View Post
Democrats are going to flip the PA senate seat I suspect there be a few other seats flipped as well but it won't be enough to get past 60 votes. That will be enough to get past the control Manchin has had to pass budget reconciliation bills which don't require 60 votes. This all hinges on dems holding on to the house.

What world do you live in?


First of all, it's an absolute given that the House will go GOP. I would say a GOP Senate is 50% or more. But flipping 10 seats GOP to DNC with the absolute disaster that's living in the WH, the economy down the drain and inflation/interest rates at record high?
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Old 07-29-2022, 07:44 AM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,190 posts, read 19,470,309 times
Reputation: 5305
Quote:
Originally Posted by exm View Post
What world do you live in?


First of all, it's an absolute given that the House will go GOP. I would say a GOP Senate is 50% or more. But flipping 10 seats GOP to DNC with the absolute disaster that's living in the WH, the economy down the drain and inflation/interest rates at record high?
The GOP will almost certainly get the House. The Senate could go either way and neither side will have more than a slight advantage. With that said, at this point anyway the Pennsylvania seat is the most likely to flip.
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Old 07-29-2022, 07:59 AM
 
Location: Philaburbia
41,965 posts, read 75,217,462 times
Reputation: 66930
Given the choices, I will not vote for: A) a Jersey boi to represent Pennsylvania residents; or 2) a misogynistic white supremacist who believes my vote was invalid to be the governor.

Quote:
Originally Posted by minnomaboidenapolis View Post
Doctor Oz is in many ways ideal for a purple state like PA
Except that he is not a Pennsylvania resident.

Quote:
Originally Posted by kell490 View Post
Polling is BS when a D is winning when an R is polling well then it's not BS??
You've caught on to the right wing selective hearing.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ponderosa View Post
A vote for the Republican in PA means turning over their reproductive rights to the state. It is that simple.
Among other things, but yes. Hopefully Pennsylvania women can see that when they go to vote.

Quote:
Originally Posted by jas75 View Post
Mastriano as governor would have the authority to appoint a Secretary of State that he chooses, and has vowed to require all Pennsylvania voters re-register to eliminate "fraud" and to de-certify the voting machines "with the stroke of a pen" that determined Biden carried the state in 2020.
In other words, he's delusional.

Quote:
Originally Posted by anononcty View Post
Philadelphia and many other cities are a problem onto their own. Many states the big cities dominate the politics and coverage. That's what any governor should remember they're governor of an entire state and not a large batch of voters from one geographic area.
Wolf is from York, so ...

Quote:
Originally Posted by paracord View Post
Don't you think voter rolls should be cleaned up periodically though?
Not by requiring every voter to re-register. That assumes all voters have registered incorrectly or illegally. Given the level of his delusions, Mastriano probably actually believes that.
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Old 07-29-2022, 08:25 AM
 
8,943 posts, read 2,966,338 times
Reputation: 5168
Quote:
Originally Posted by kell490 View Post
Democrats are going to flip the PA senate seat I suspect there be a few other seats flipped as well but it won't be enough to get past 60 votes. That will be enough to get past the control Manchin has had to pass budget reconciliation bills which don't require 60 votes. This all hinges on dems holding on to the house.
The Senate campaign has barely even begun. Both candidates in PA have huge problems.

Fetterman is a commie Bernie supporter, Oz is a non-resident of PA and viewed as an elite.

Hold up on your horses there. At this point in VA last year, McAuliffe was way ahead of Youngkin.

Either way, you're smoking massive dope if you think Democrats have a chance in the House. That's a 90% given to go red.

The senate, if I had to guess right now, will go to the gop by a 51-49 margin too.
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Old 07-29-2022, 09:43 AM
 
9,881 posts, read 4,650,430 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ohiogirl81 View Post
................

Wolf is from York, so ...
But the votes are from cities like Philadelphia and Pittsburgh along with major donors. Without endorsements from local city politicians guys like Wolf wouldn't get elected.

Oz gets the Rep nomination because of Hannity who smeared the rival that should've had it. Always go with the hot player. Oz isn't the hot player. He's a famous player but not the hot one.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/mehmet...mystery-person

Even with Democrat shenanigans Mastriano still a threat.

https://www.politico.com/news/2022/0...-race-00046423

Problem they put someone in with a hardcore following or single issue voters who won't change. He only has to focus on independents and moderates. He can ride the coat tails of the Biden economy to victory IF he plays it right.
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Old 07-30-2022, 02:14 AM
 
Location: Arizona
13,278 posts, read 7,316,697 times
Reputation: 10103
Quote:
Originally Posted by paracord View Post
The Senate campaign has barely even begun. Both candidates in PA have huge problems.

Fetterman is a commie Bernie supporter, Oz is a non-resident of PA and viewed as an elite.

Hold up on your horses there. At this point in VA last year, McAuliffe was way ahead of Youngkin.

Either way, you're smoking massive dope if you think Democrats have a chance in the House. That's a 90% given to go red.

The senate, if I had to guess right now, will go to the gop by a 51-49 margin too.
Polling doesn't support your 51 GOP in the senate I never said the house would go Democrat. If the House doesn't flip that would be a huge failure for the republicans.

New Poll for Senate shows Fetterman with a 11% lead over OZ. If you think OZ is going to win your delusional.

New poll shows Shapiro with a 13% point lead over that crackpot Trump endorsed Mastriano for Governor.

McAuliffe is far from the crackpot Mastriano.
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Old 07-30-2022, 05:20 AM
 
10,236 posts, read 6,322,066 times
Reputation: 11290
Quote:
Originally Posted by kell490 View Post
Polling doesn't support your 51 GOP in the senate I never said the house would go Democrat. If the House doesn't flip that would be a huge failure for the republicans.

New Poll for Senate shows Fetterman with a 11% lead over OZ. If you think OZ is going to win your delusional.

New poll shows Shapiro with a 13% point lead over that crackpot Trump endorsed Mastriano for Governor.

McAuliffe is far from the crackpot Mastriano.
There is a poll right here on CD PA section which is on par with these other polls, including Fox. They are all wrong? Probably would have been closer if McCormick had won, not Oz.
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Old 07-30-2022, 07:03 AM
 
Location: Arizona
13,278 posts, read 7,316,697 times
Reputation: 10103
If you look at this map the 4 states which are a tossup AZ, NV, GA, PA recent polling is all toward democrats with a 5-12% point lead. The Reason in all these states is Trump's endorsements are upending any chance of a GOP Senate majority. Republicans are seeing this that is why they are starting to come out against Trump's endorsements with Mike Pence having rallies. What they will end up with is a 51 Dem Senate it still won't make it past the 60 needed for much to pass unless they decide to get rid of the filibuster.

NV 6% lead
George 5% lead
Arizona 12% lead Mark Kelly VR Blake Masters
PA 11% lead
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Old 07-31-2022, 04:50 AM
 
3,618 posts, read 3,055,951 times
Reputation: 2788
Mehmet Oz is done. Stick a fork in that loony MAGA douche.
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