Quote:
Originally Posted by Annandale_Man
Palin will still win in November. That is when it matters.
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It's nearly the same setup for the normal 2-yr term as it was for the special election to replace Don Young's remaining term after he died. On the ballot will be Peltola, Palin, Begich, and a Lebitarian Chris Bye. In the first round of voting in November it will be Peltola, Palin, Begich, and Bye. If the election were under the old (normal) rules, Peltola would win - plain and simple.
With RCV, Bye gets dropped and his 1st choice voters get their 2nd choice counted. I doubt this will make any difference. So, then Begich gets dropped and his voters 2nd choice gets counted. This is where it could go either way. Peltola won the special election by just a few percentage points. If enough Begich voters from the special election have a change of heart for the general election it could swing to Palin.
The irony is, Palin has been railing against RCV (I think mostly because she is too dim to understand it), however, it is the only way she has a chance to win.