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Old 09-26-2022, 09:17 AM
 
13,461 posts, read 4,295,282 times
Reputation: 5392

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Blondy View Post
Val has a 7% lead on Rubio with women voters.

I doubt if he's laughing about that.

https://www.local10.com/news/politic...by-few-points/
Of the last 13 polls, Rubio is winning on all 13. RCP Prediction is GOP HOLD but the funnier thing in your wishful thinking is that Demings will bring enough blue votes for Crist to win. It's going to be a blue wave win in Florida in 2022 because Floridians will ignore the #1 issue in the election, economy. Thanks for the laugh.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_U...ion_in_Florida

 
Old 09-26-2022, 10:35 AM
 
19,848 posts, read 12,110,307 times
Reputation: 17578
Quote:
Originally Posted by Blondy View Post
Val has a 7% lead on Rubio with women voters.

I doubt if he's laughing about that.

https://www.local10.com/news/politic...by-few-points/

Hard pass on Demings. Her service weapon was never recovered after she irresponsibly lost it.
 
Old 09-26-2022, 12:28 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,190 posts, read 19,470,309 times
Reputation: 5305
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bitey View Post
Maybe in political circles. But how many people even know who the speaker of their state house is?
True to a point, but Rubio and Crist often clashed when Crist was Governor and had some public spats. Anyway point being, while it was certainly unexpected that the Primary turned out the way it did, and Crist went in as the favorite and more well known, Rubio was far from some nobody.

FWIW, I fully expect both Rubio and DeSantis to win. It is unlikely to be a blowout in either race, as the political dynamics of Florida just doesn't lend itself to that, but unlikely to be the close races we saw in 2018 either.
 
Old 09-26-2022, 12:53 PM
 
13,461 posts, read 4,295,282 times
Reputation: 5392
Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
True to a point, but Rubio and Crist often clashed when Crist was Governor and had some public spats. Anyway point being, while it was certainly unexpected that the Primary turned out the way it did, and Crist went in as the favorite and more well known, Rubio was far from some nobody.
\.



That wasn't my point. Rubio was speaker of the house for 2 years 2006 to 2008 and quit and went to the private sector to teach for 2 years, he had NO political power then and Crist was the current governor of the state.

Crist became Florida Senator in 1992 out of nowhere since he was a civilian. Being Florida Senator and then later Florida governor beats anything Rubio did up to 2008 in political power and money machine.

Crist with his war chest and resume should had never been losing by over 30% to small potatoes Rubio in the 2010 primaries that made him leave the party and lose by 20% in the general in a 3 horse race.

It means that Crist p@ssed off a lot of people and burned too many bridges. Then he blamed the base instead of himself and joins the Democrats.
 
Old 09-26-2022, 05:17 PM
 
8,943 posts, read 2,966,338 times
Reputation: 5168
Quote:
Originally Posted by wondermint2 View Post
The poll was done on September 21st and it's listed on FiveThirtyEight:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com.../2022/florida/
Uh yeah. Exactly.

538 is nonsense and this poll is nonsense. Desantis is going to cruise to victory.

These August and September polls are the Democrats last gasp at suppressing the republicans.

Charlie Crist has 0% chance to win. Come on.
 
Old 09-27-2022, 12:57 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,190 posts, read 19,470,309 times
Reputation: 5305
Quote:
Originally Posted by paracord View Post
Uh yeah. Exactly.

538 is nonsense and this poll is nonsense. Desantis is going to cruise to victory.

These August and September polls are the Democrats last gasp at suppressing the republicans.

Charlie Crist has 0% chance to win. Come on.
FWIW 538 has DeSantis with a 87%-92% chance of winning depending on the model, with the average margin ranging from 6.3%-9.3% depending on the model
 
Old 10-03-2022, 01:48 PM
 
Location: Arizona
13,281 posts, read 7,321,255 times
Reputation: 10104
Quote:
Originally Posted by paracord View Post
Uh yeah. Exactly.

538 is nonsense and this poll is nonsense. Desantis is going to cruise to victory.

These August and September polls are the Democrats last gasp at suppressing the republicans.

Charlie Crist has 0% chance to win. Come on.
538 shows DeSantis winning with 6% lead not sure why you think it's nonsense. There was one poll listed that had Crist winning that is far from the average. Democrats will hold the Senate if you think any different then that is wishful thinking.
 
Old 10-03-2022, 02:44 PM
 
Location: West Palm Beach, FL
17,642 posts, read 6,914,908 times
Reputation: 16540
Quote:
Originally Posted by kell490 View Post
538 shows DeSantis winning with 6% lead not sure why you think it's nonsense. There was one poll listed that had Crist winning that is far from the average. Democrats will hold the Senate if you think any different then that is wishful thinking.
Anyone who lives in Florida, i.e. not Arizona and New York liberals, knows it nonsense.

By the way, a new Siena College poll dropped today. DeSantis is up 8 points over Crist, 49% to 41%. Rubio is up 7 points over Demings, 48% to 41%:

https://scri.siena.edu/wp-content/up...-Crosstabs.pdf

Read it and weep.
 
Old 10-03-2022, 05:15 PM
 
Location: az
13,754 posts, read 8,009,665 times
Reputation: 9413
It appears DeSantis is doing a good job overseeing the hurricane relief effort. Probably good for a 2-3 point pop. In any event he's got Fl. this Nov. in the bag.

However, the entire country is watching and DeSantis (along with his campaign team) are certain to remember:
https://www.usnews.com/news/the-repo...%20the%20plane.
 
Old 10-03-2022, 05:37 PM
 
Location: Brackenwood
9,984 posts, read 5,684,706 times
Reputation: 22138
Quote:
Originally Posted by kell490 View Post
538 shows DeSantis winning with 6% lead not sure why you think it's nonsense. There was one poll listed that had Crist winning that is far from the average. Democrats will hold the Senate if you think any different then that is wishful thinking.
It's not that far-fetched. The PA race is tightening up, Johnson is pulling away in Wisconsin, Walker has closed most of the gap in Georgia, and nobody seems to be paying any attention to Nevada where Laxalt has pulled ahead of Cruz-Mastro.
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