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In the last week, the GOP taking the Senate outright has been climbing steadily, and Iowa Futures has them (converting their pricing to odds) as approx -145 favorites.
Most markets with hourly or multiple daily updates spiked hard in favor of Oz specifically and GOP generally as a result of that debate. And this is people betting with real money.
Chances are about 99% we will see a few more "armed threat to democracy" events like the one in AZ, as the Dem strategists only have that one arrow left in the quiver for these last two weeks. Gotta keep the fear alive and real.
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It's a joke that anyone would vote for Fetterman. However they just sent over 250k unverified ballots out in PA. If you think it's a legitimate election in PA you have another thing coming. Everything they have done has made it easier for the Democrats to cheat.
It's a joke that anyone would vote for Fetterman. However they just sent over 250k unverified ballots out in PA. If you think it's a legitimate election in PA you have another thing coming. Everything they have done has made it easier for the Democrats to cheat.
Fetterman worked hard to make sure he only had to debate Oz once... and made sure that that debate would come after "early voting" had already been going on a long time. Some have estimated that as much as half the votes that would come in before Election Day, had already been cast by the time the people had a chance to find out how Fetterman did in the debate (poorly).
Many states (usually democrat-controlled) have been modifying their voting laws to include "early voting", ballot-harvesting etc.
Should those states further modify their laws to let "early voters" take back their vote and cast a different one, up to and including Election Day, if they change their minds? We want to be fair to the voters in every possible way, after all.
I watched 15 minutes or so of the debate. Fetterman was not quite like anything I have seen before. Oz was competent.
I think the democrat's commitment to Fetterman will cost them. I doubt many undecided voters in other states watched the debate, but just the narrative of another democrat going down in flames may swing a few important votes in very close elections.
Lol. Looks like an internet vote, do you actually need to watch the debate or just vote.
A NY Times editorial today said, it doesn't matter how either of them performed, because many PA voters had already cast their ballots. Most voters have already decided.
Quote:
But deep down, nothing made much difference. Most viewers knew who they were going to support before the debate began. Hundreds of thousands of them had already voted. Makes total sense. The most important thing about this election, by far, is that it could decide who will control the Senate.
A NY Times editorial today said, it doesn't matter how either of them performed, because many PA voters had already cast their ballots. Most voters have already decided. https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/26/o...-midterms.html
This is basically the Democratically controlled media pointing a finger at every Pennsylvania voter and going:
Yep. We already have dementia weak joe in office. Did the dems not learn how bad that has been. Why does the left vote for people who stay in basements? Is that the best they can do?
Yep. We already have dementia weak joe in office. Did the dems not learn how bad that has been. Why does the left vote for people who stay in basements? Is that the best they can do?
They relate well to it
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