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Old 03-28-2024, 06:39 PM
 
30,135 posts, read 11,774,020 times
Reputation: 18654

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Top recent polls based on most people polled:

Biden +1 (5833 polled)
Biden +2 (3356 polled)
Trump +2(2111 polled)
Biden +3(1407 polled)
Top polls based on fewest people polled:

Trump +7(715 polled)
Trump +2(990 polled)
Trump +1(1001 polled)
Trump +0(1010 polled)
Trump +7(1094 polled)

(3/28/2024)2024 General Election: Trump vs. Biden
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Old 03-28-2024, 06:47 PM
 
Location: Hoosierville
17,373 posts, read 14,622,936 times
Reputation: 11592
Great.

Trump is polling higher than he did in 2020 AND in 2016.

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Old 03-28-2024, 06:48 PM
 
10,735 posts, read 4,338,237 times
Reputation: 5818
Trolling? Are you kidding?
All I said was Trump's RCP lead shrinking from +2 to +1 isn't thread-worthy, 7 months from an election...
How many polling update threads will Oklazona Bound be making in the next 7 months?
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Old 03-28-2024, 06:50 PM
 
10,735 posts, read 4,338,237 times
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Hillary led by 11.2 at this stage-
https://www.realclearpolling.com/pol...trump-vs-biden
That would be thread-worthy.
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Old 03-28-2024, 07:06 PM
Status: "Apparently the worst poster on CD" (set 24 days ago)
 
27,636 posts, read 16,120,970 times
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Old 03-29-2024, 02:34 AM
 
Location: Central Massachusetts
6,593 posts, read 7,085,536 times
Reputation: 9332
The poll is a snapshot in time where the electorate hasn’t even started thinking about voting. Those same polls at this point in 2022 were predicting a Red Tidal wave. It really didn’t come did it. Until republicans can stop hemorrhaging money to legal issues for the former president and figure out how to deal with the abortion issue they will be sadly disappointed in November.
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Old 03-29-2024, 02:39 AM
 
Location: Honolulu/DMV Area/NYC
30,623 posts, read 18,203,012 times
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Putting aside for a second that Trump has always overperformed his poll numbers, ultimately it's the swing state polls (not national polls) that matter the most here.
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Old 03-29-2024, 04:07 AM
 
6,802 posts, read 14,023,558 times
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This race is going to be and numbers in March mean very little. At lot of jockying is gonna take place between now and election time.
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Old 03-29-2024, 04:26 AM
 
30,135 posts, read 11,774,020 times
Reputation: 18654
Quote:
Originally Posted by MAGAalot View Post
Trolling? Are you kidding?
All I said was Trump's RCP lead shrinking from +2 to +1 isn't thread-worthy, 7 months from an election...
How many polling update threads will Oklazona Bound be making in the next 7 months?
I think Trump will win. My whole point is MAGA should not be so over confident. All I read is cherry picked poll after poll as to how well Trump is doing and how its impossible for Biden to win. However Jan 27th, two months ago Trump was up 4.3. Now its 1.0. And if you read what I originally wrote the polls with the lowest MOE and largest sample size favor Biden. So if you put more weight on those polls Biden might be up 1 or 2 at the moment. Yet MAGA keeps doing their victory dance 7 months out. If Biden really has made up 5 or 6 points in 2 months anything could happen in 7 more months. This is not the time to be smug. Its time to get serious for a dog fight. If none of you want to acknowledge that fact and claim I am trolling by simply stating recent poll numbers. Maybe Trump won't win. Maybe it will be 2020 and 2022 and all the special elections where the dems have overperformed over and over. Like Alabama just this week.

Point is its bad to assume that Trump will win. You need to fight tooth and nail for victory. Otherwise it could be another horrible disappointment. You don't want to be doing victory laps for 7 months and then claim the next 4 years after that, that the dems stole the election. Better to just win it, don't you think?
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Old 03-29-2024, 04:46 AM
 
Location: Unperson Everyman Land
38,643 posts, read 26,368,587 times
Reputation: 12648
Quote:
Originally Posted by Oklazona Bound View Post
Top recent polls based on most people polled:

Biden +1 (5833 polled)
Biden +2 (3356 polled)
Trump +2(2111 polled)
Biden +3(1407 polled)
Top polls based on fewest people polled:

Trump +7(715 polled)
Trump +2(990 polled)
Trump +1(1001 polled)
Trump +0(1010 polled)
Trump +7(1094 polled)

(3/28/2024)2024 General Election: Trump vs. Biden


Trump vs. Biden couldn't possibly be more irrelevant.

The contest is between Trump, Biden, Kennedy, West and Stein.

In this five-way race, only a handful of swing states will actually matter.

Trump is on a glide path to win all swing states and the presidential election.
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