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I do think FL will be tough for Dems, but they have wagons full of money they can throw in there and force the broke GOP to do the same.
I think this is going to be a significant factor unless the GOP can somehow raise enough to not only cover Trump's bills, fund his actual campaign, AND have enough to fund the down ballot candidates.
As of now, they barely have enough to cover the first two before even trying to keep pace with the Democrats war chest. In addition to Florida, they are going to have to probably pour more than expected into North Carolina and Arizona. That's going to cause them to have to pull back some in places like Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia.
Predictit.org is an experimental project operated for academic purposes under permission from the CFTC.
nuff said.
You shouldn't be too quick to dismiss a new concept because it's not giving you the outcome you're looking for. The LA Times Daybreak poll was also a novel concept in 2016 and they were one of the few if not only that called the election correctly that year,
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You do realize this is a betting site right - gamblers gamble for the thrill - that's like betting on a long shot at the horse races because you'll make more if that horse comes in.
I am not worried. I am not voting for Trump or Biden. I would be worried if I planned on voting for Trump or Biden. But since you mentioned it. Trump has lost almost 5 points from his lead just weeks ago. That kind of swing did not happen in April 2020 or April 2016.
Moral of the story is you don't want to be up this far out. Your lead evaporates.
I am not worried. I am not voting for Trump or Biden. I would be worried if I planned on voting for Trump or Biden. But since you mentioned it. Trump has lost almost 5 points from his lead just weeks ago. That kind of swing did not happen in April 2020 or April 2016.
Moral of the story is you don't want to be up this far out. Your lead evaporates.
Good point. Also, there are 7 months left until the presidential election. That is an eternity in politics.
And Trump has his criminal trial starting on Monday, and that could negatively affect Trump. We will see.
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