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Old 06-18-2008, 06:01 PM
 
31,027 posts, read 37,104,244 times
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Rasmussen Reports™: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election. (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/virginia/election_2008_virginia_presidential_election - broken link)


Election 2008: Virginia Presidential Election
Virginia: Obama Keeps Gaining Ground in State that Has Voted GOP for Forty Years
Monday, June 16, 2008
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Barack Obama continues to gain ground on John McCain in Virginia, for the first time edging ahead of his Republican opponent for the presidency in a state Democrats are increasingly hopeful of peeling away from the GOP.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Virginia voters finds Obama with a statistically insignificant one-percentage point lead over McCain, 45% to 44%. Five percent (5%) favor a third-party candidate, and 7% are undecided. Last month, with Hillary Clinton still in the race for the Democratic presidential nomination, McCain led Obama 47% to 44%. (See Video)

This marks the fourth time in five polls that the two candidates have been within five points of each other in Virginia, confirming the state’s competitive status. The one exception came in March, at the height of the initial Jeremiah Wright coverage, when McCain was up by eleven points.

McCain has lost ground among both male voters over the past month. He leads Obama among men 49% to 41%, but a month earlier his lead was nearly twice that size (15%). Women voters currently favor Obama 48% to 39%, little changed from a month ago.

The Republican candidate’s lead among unaffiliated voters has vanished. Last month McCain had a 19% lead over Obama among these voters. Now the two candidates are essentially even.

Can he do it or will he fade as time rolls on?
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Old 06-18-2008, 06:28 PM
 
Location: 44.9800° N, 93.2636° W
2,654 posts, read 5,343,468 times
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Im getting the impression he is campaigning in states that dems have traditionally not won, not necessarily because he thinks he has a shot...but just because of the amount of campaign funding he has, he can send McCain on a wild goose chase trying to play catch up and spending away what he does have. Its pretty smart, if thats what hes doing.
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Old 06-18-2008, 07:21 PM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,313 posts, read 41,445,531 times
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He will be campaigning in various "red" states, like Virginia, NM,CO,NV,IA.

McCain will also campaign in those "blue" states that are close, like MI,WI,PA,CT,OR,MN.

I think this year we cannot depend on the "traditional" red state/blue state staying that way.

I think Obama has a very good shot at taking Virginia.

I also think McCain has a good shot at MI.
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Old 06-18-2008, 07:42 PM
 
31,027 posts, read 37,104,244 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sanrene View Post
He will be campaigning in various "red" states, like Virginia, NM,CO,NV,IA.

McCain will also campaign in those "blue" states that are close, like MI,WI,PA,CT,OR,MN.

I think this year we cannot depend on the "traditional" red state/blue state staying that way.

I think Obama has a very good shot at taking Virginia.

I also think McCain has a good shot at MI.
yup, how many state do you think are solid for either candidate?
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Old 06-18-2008, 08:39 PM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,313 posts, read 41,445,531 times
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2008 Presidential Election Interactive Map and History of the Electoral College

This is my Solids/Swing map. OR & CT are somewhat iffie at this time.

Although this article has got me thinking of Virginnie in a different way.

Virginia will be uphill battle for Obama - Patrick Ottenhoff - Politico.com

And this is my prediction;

2008 Presidential Election Interactive Map and History of the Electoral College

Which will cause many a heart palpatations on election night.
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Old 06-18-2008, 08:40 PM
 
Location: OC, CA
3,309 posts, read 5,295,434 times
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Liberal poll.

McCain will get Virginia like Republicans do every time.

The difference with Virginia is that it is a place with a lot of educated people. Those kinds of people with minds of their own dont vote for idiots like Obama and his bias media.
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Old 06-18-2008, 09:43 PM
 
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Obama on the wrong side of the Drill for Oil issue while McCain is picking up voters on this issue:

Rasmussen Reports™: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election.
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Old 06-18-2008, 10:04 PM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,313 posts, read 41,445,531 times
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Quote:
Obama on the wrong side of the Drill for Oil issue while McCain is picking up voters on this issue:
Yup. It's a winner for McCain.

He needs to beat them about the head with the dem idea of "nationalizing" refineries.
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Old 06-18-2008, 10:21 PM
 
31,027 posts, read 37,104,244 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ocexpo View Post
Liberal poll.

McCain will get Virginia like Republicans do every time.

The difference with Virginia is that it is a place with a lot of educated people. Those kinds of people with minds of their own dont vote for idiots like Obama and his bias media.
The suburbs of DC which is the affluent area of the state went for Obama in the primary the rural areas went to Clinton. Fairfax, Loudon etc are Obama country and that is the well educated area which is consistant with his demographic profile.
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Old 06-18-2008, 10:26 PM
 
Location: Austin TX
1,589 posts, read 4,238,043 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ocexpo View Post
Liberal poll.

McCain will get Virginia like Republicans do every time.

The difference with Virginia is that it is a place with a lot of educated people. Those kinds of people with minds of their own dont vote for idiots like Obama and his bias media.

Really? you think they are dumb enough to chose four more years of this stuff...I think NOT
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