Welcome to City-Data.com Forum!
U.S. CitiesCity-Data Forum Index
Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Politics and Other Controversies > Elections
 [Register]
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
View detailed profile (Advanced) or search
site with Google Custom Search

Search Forums  (Advanced)
Reply Start New Thread
 
Old 07-15-2008, 07:55 AM
 
Location: Washington state
7,211 posts, read 9,430,319 times
Reputation: 1895

Advertisements

A new Quinnipiac Poll released this morning gives Obama a 50%-41% lead over McCain nationally. Breaking the numbers down a little they look like this:

Independents

Obama-44%
McCain-44%

Men

Obama-44%
McCain-47%

Women

Obama-55%
McCain-36%

18-34

Obama-63%
McCain-31%

35-54

Obama-48%
McCain-44%

over 55

Obama-44%
McCain-45%

Interesting that over 55 is the only age group in which McCain leads. In fact 20% in the poll say they are less likely to vote for McCain because of his age.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message

 
Old 07-15-2008, 07:59 AM
 
4,829 posts, read 7,747,478 times
Reputation: 621
The lead will only get bigger in the coming months.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-15-2008, 09:41 AM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 44,937,590 times
Reputation: 7118
Whoops, you forgot these.

Rasmussen Reports™: The most comprehensive public opinion coverage ever provided for a presidential election. (http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll - broken link)

Quote:
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll shows Barack Obama attracting 44% of the vote while John McCain earns 40%. When "leaners" are included, it’s Obama 47% and McCain 45%.
Gallup Daily: Presidential Race Remains Steady

Quote:
The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update shows voter preferences holding steady, with 46% saying they would vote for Barack Obama and 43% for John McCain if the presidential election were held today.
Newsweek Poll: July 11, 2008 | Newsweek Politics: Campaign 2008 | Newsweek.com

Quote:
Newsweek 07/09 - 07/10 1037 RV 44 41 Obama +3.0
Notice what happened to that 15 point lead in the last Newsweek Poll?

Quote:
315 Republicans (plus or minus 7)
324 Democrats (plus or minus 7)
357 Independents (plus or minus 6)
How interesting? I thought this economy was an absolute disaster - but here, people seem to be saying they are doing pretty good. It's such a shame the media has so much influence with their CONSTANT talking down of the economy.


Quote:
17. Which best describes your family's financial situation - Getting ahead, falling behind or holding steady?

LIKELY VOTERS............................................ .....
Union
Tot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom Wht Blk HsHlds

Getting ahead 12% 15% 10% 13% 14% 10% 12% 14% 14%
Falling behind 22 12 26 25 18 26 21 29 25
Holding steady 65 71 63 62 67 63 66 57 60
DK/NA 1 2 1 - 1 1 1 - 1
So...70-80% of people, dems/reps/indies say they are getting ahead/holding steady. Who would have thought that?
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-15-2008, 09:44 AM
 
Location: USA - midwest
5,944 posts, read 5,582,900 times
Reputation: 2606
Quote:
Originally Posted by blacknight04 View Post
The lead will only get bigger in the coming months.

I expect Obama to win, but I think it will be close. The people opposing Obama are very emotionally invested in their opposition and unlikely to be persuaded otherwise. Just look at all the hateful BS posted here every day. McCain will get 100% of the dummies who still approve of Bush. That's about 25% of the electorate right there. He'll also get 100% of the racist vote, which is probably an additional 15 - 20%.

Obama won't make any inroads with either of those groups.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-15-2008, 09:48 AM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 44,937,590 times
Reputation: 7118
The kook-left and the black vote are NOT enought to put Obama in the WH, thankfully.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-15-2008, 09:53 AM
 
1,348 posts, read 3,586,152 times
Reputation: 944
Quote:
Originally Posted by sanrene View Post
The kook-left and the black vote are NOT enought to put Obama in the WH, thankfully.

Of course not. In fact, Obama's biggest leads are in the most lily-white states such as Minnesota, where he has a whopping 18 point lead.

Obama will get plenty of white and independent votes.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-15-2008, 09:56 AM
 
4,829 posts, read 7,747,478 times
Reputation: 621
Quote:
Originally Posted by sanrene View Post
The kook-left and the black vote are NOT enought to put Obama in the WH, thankfully.
How come McCain can't overtake him in the polls then?
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-15-2008, 10:01 AM
 
Location: USA - midwest
5,944 posts, read 5,582,900 times
Reputation: 2606
Quote:
Originally Posted by blacknight04 View Post
How come McCain can't overtake him in the polls then?

It's that lingering odor of Bush. It just won't go away.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-15-2008, 10:02 AM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 44,937,590 times
Reputation: 7118
Quote:
In fact, Obama's biggest leads are in the most lily-white states such as Minnesota, where he has a whopping 18 point lead.
See, states like MN are considered "blue". He can ill afford to lose ANY of the states that Gore and Kerry won.

States like PA, MI, IN, WV, OH, WI, VA, NC, MO (Obama didn't fare to well in the lily-white areas of these KEY states) are the swingers as well as a few other blue states like OR, WA NH, WI.
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
 
Old 07-15-2008, 10:04 AM
 
Location: Washington state
7,211 posts, read 9,430,319 times
Reputation: 1895
Quote:
Originally Posted by sanrene View Post
The kook-left and the black vote are NOT enought to put Obama in the WH, thankfully.

Obama up by 10% in Iowa according to Rasmussen (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/iowa/election_2008_iowa_presidential_election - broken link) and by a whopping 18% in Minnesota (http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/minnesota/election_2008_minnesota_presidential_election - broken link)

You can't blame those numbers on the "kook left" or the "black vote."
Reply With Quote Quick reply to this message
Please register to post and access all features of our very popular forum. It is free and quick. Over $68,000 in prizes has already been given out to active posters on our forum. Additional giveaways are planned.

Detailed information about all U.S. cities, counties, and zip codes on our site: City-data.com.


Reply
Please update this thread with any new information or opinions. This open thread is still read by thousands of people, so we encourage all additional points of view.

Quick Reply
Message:


Over $104,000 in prizes was already given out to active posters on our forum and additional giveaways are planned!

Go Back   City-Data Forum > General Forums > Politics and Other Controversies > Elections
Similar Threads

All times are GMT -6. The time now is 04:51 PM.

© 2005-2024, Advameg, Inc. · Please obey Forum Rules · Terms of Use and Privacy Policy · Bug Bounty

City-Data.com - Contact Us - Archive 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37 - Top