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Old 10-08-2008, 02:05 PM
 
Location: Home, Home on the Front Range
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Quote:
Originally Posted by todd72173 View Post
You mean to overcome Bush jacking the votes to McCain? Or how bout the DIebold systems rigged to the republicans?
Unfortunately, I fear that this may be the actual reality come election day
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Old 10-08-2008, 02:31 PM
 
Location: Chicago - West Lakeview
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I truly hope not, tigerlily.
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Old 10-08-2008, 03:21 PM
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by atxcio View Post
It should be pointed out that Rush Limbaugh has been saying Obama would have to be "up by 10 in the polls" to actually win on election day. That is the threshold necessary, in his opinion, to overcome the "Bradley effect."

So yeah, it should be interesting to see how the right will spin it.

On the other hand, all they need to do is wait, because polls fluctuate and this is a really high lead -- from 11 points ahead, it's much easier to lose a couple of points than it is to gain any (you'd need to change the minds of some pretty set republicans in that 41% that McCain has in the polls)
FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections Done Right: The Persistent Myth of the Bradley Effect

Bradley isn't and hasn't been in play for a while.
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Old 10-08-2008, 04:37 PM
 
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FiveThirtyEight.com: Electoral Projections Done Right
'm short on time today, so let's keep this on point: John McCain is in deep trouble. In spite of some incremental gains that McCain has made in some of the national tracking polls, the set of state polling that follows is so strong for Obama that he continues to hit record marks in all three of our projection metrics. We are now projecting Obama to win the election 90.5 percent of the time, with an average of 346.8 electoral votes, and a 5.4-point margin in the national popular vote.

The above is from the link.
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