Gallup; Mac gains 2 in all three categories (voters, Reagan, polls)

[sanrene]

Just for the record, since the bots are frantically posting polls - not this one of course.







I predict they go back up tomorrow.

[njchick]

I think it's much closer than the lib media will admit.

[Valley Native]

I'm predicting Obama will still win ... but most likely not by a landslide. These polls aren't all accurate. In 1980, the Gallup polls had Jimmy Carter ahead of Ronald Reagan even right before the election, but Reagan ended up winning the election by a landslide that year. During much of 1996, Gallup showed Clinton & Dole virtually tied ... but Clinton won re-election by a large percentage. In 2004, Gallup showed Bush & Kerry virtually tied, but Bush easily won a second term.

I have a feeling that Florida might once again be a huge factor in the outcome of this year's election. The polls show Obama slightly ahead of McCain in Florida ... but there's a margin of error, so that state could go either way. Obama will likely pick up some other states that Bush won in '04, which would give him the win, but I still don't think he can walk away with a landslide victory which some of these polls are predicting.

[TuborgP]

PRINCETON, NJ -- Regardless of the predictors used to identify likely voters, the conclusion is the same -- Barack Obama maintains a significant lead over John McCain in the latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking presidential election trial heat.



The above is the summary from Gallup today

Note the tracking range and where each candidate is in relationship to previous highs and lows and how close they are to the magical number of more then half. Remember McCain is near the top of his long term range and off the low point and Obama is still treading within his newly established highs. We have discussed treading range before and the significance of.