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Old 10-23-2008, 08:36 AM
 
Location: Charlotte
12,642 posts, read 15,594,667 times
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Pollster currently has Senator Obama at 44.3% Senator McCain at 49.7% and Barr at 1.9%.
President Bush was at 16.6+ in 2004 RCP.
The percentage separating the two appears to be close enough to wonder - Is Georgia now a tossup?
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Old 10-23-2008, 08:42 AM
 
4,183 posts, read 6,522,498 times
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It should be a toss up. Although McCain might still win, but the closeness of the race should make McCain sweat bullets and spend more money that he doesn't have.

Obama is employing the Reagan strategy of beating the Soviets: outspend the enemy in an arms race until he cries uncle.
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Old 10-23-2008, 08:45 AM
 
Location: Downtown Greensboro, NC
3,491 posts, read 8,580,513 times
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We have have all come to expect that Obama will win by some combination of the "known" battleground states but in reality there could be a big upset where Obama could win more states thats not even on the radar as being battleground states. This can possible due to voter turn out and new registered voters not being accounted for in the poll numbers. North Dakota is another one of those states people need to keep an eye on.
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Old 10-23-2008, 08:47 AM
 
Location: WA
4,242 posts, read 8,772,742 times
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McCain is doing a poor job of reaching out to urban voters. To win the South, it used to be that you didn't have to. But now that Southern cities are outgrowing their Northern counterparts, its becoming more important to think beyond small town America.
The Atlanta metro area is getting large enough to determine the candidate for the whole state.
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Old 10-23-2008, 08:49 AM
 
31,683 posts, read 41,028,394 times
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No absolutely not. If McCain needs to defend Georgia the race is over for him. If Obama needs to win Georgia then the race is over for him. If Obama wins Georgia it is only icing on a caked overloaded with icing. McCain needs to win the states he needs assuming Georgia is part of his foundation.
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Old 10-23-2008, 08:49 AM
 
Location: In the sunshine on a ship with a plank
3,413 posts, read 8,835,536 times
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I think they are grossly underestimating the support that Obama is going to have in Georgia.
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Old 10-23-2008, 09:21 AM
 
Location: Charlotte
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Senator McCain may have to defend Georgia....it looks like a tossup, when you compare it to some of the States that have been considered tossups for Senator Obama, by greater margins and considerably longer throughout the Election Cycle.
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Old 10-23-2008, 09:23 AM
 
31,683 posts, read 41,028,394 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by walidm View Post
Senator McCain may have to defend Georgia....it looks like a tossup, when you compare it to some of the States that have been considered tossups for Senator Obama, by greater margins and considerably longer throughout the Election Cycle.
He can't afford to defend anymore states. If he has to defend Georgia he is behind by so much and spread so thin that it is hopeless.
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Old 10-23-2008, 09:24 AM
 
Location: Jersey City
7,055 posts, read 19,299,392 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TuborgP View Post
No absolutely not. If McCain needs to defend Georgia the race is over for him. If Obama needs to win Georgia then the race is over for him. If Obama wins Georgia it is only icing on a caked overloaded with icing. McCain needs to win the states he needs assuming Georgia is part of his foundation.
mmmmmm... cake...
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Old 10-23-2008, 09:29 AM
 
Location: Charlotte
12,642 posts, read 15,594,667 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TuborgP View Post
He can't afford to defend anymore states. If he has to defend Georgia he is behind by so much and spread so thin that it is hopeless.
It will be interesting to watch the next campaign advertising shift. From the recent Rasmussen poll, there are some vulnerabilities there.
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