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i dont...i am just saying
if you want accurate results, you need to ask more Dems, since they have the most registered..than Reps and Independents come in 3rd...
If this poll had a 1000 people..it should be 390 Dems, 330 Reps, 280 Independents.
The poll is conducted representative of the percentages of those in each party...otherwise it wouldn't be a scientific poll.
If obama continues to run the economy into the ground, people will be looking for a real businessman, someone that has actual experience running a business, a state, an orgranization - unlike obama, who has no experience running....anything.
yeah...good luck trying to sell a Mormon to some of the conservatives.
What does being a Mormon have to do with being President? That is as bad as being against someone because they are black.
Democrats supported Obama and didnt care about the color of his skin, same cant be said about a large part of the right like the following
Quote:
Prominent evangelical leaders are warning Sen. John McCain against picking former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney as his running mate, saying their troops will abandon the Republican ticket on Election Day if that happens.
They say Mr. Romney lacks trust on issues such as outlawing abortion and opposing same-sex marriage and because he is a Mormon. Opposition is particularly powerful among those who supported former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee in the Republican presidential primaries earlier this year.
"It will alienate the entire evangelical community - 62 million self-professing evangelicals in this country, half of them registered to vote, are going to be deeply saddened
Democrats supported Obama and didnt care about the color of his skin, same cant be said about a large part of the right like the following
I think the importance of placating the evangelicals duriing an election has been way over done. We are not electing a religious leader, we are electing a president. There was a huge number of Republcans that did not vote for McCain either, many didn't vote at all last time. So nominating him was a huge mistake.
Perhaps you have a better reason for his abysmal showing in the 2008 primaries...
Abyssmal? I thought he came in second.
There were other factors at work as well. The Democrats knew that Romney was the bigger threat. The turning point was Florida. Guess who gets to vote in the Florida Republican primary.
EVERYONE! Including Democrats.
If a poll like this had been taken in 1981 than Reagan would have been regarded worse than Carter. His poll numbers during his first year in office were lower than those of Carter in his first year, and polls taken in 1981 did show a Democratic victory in 1984 as being near-inevitable. Keep in mind the economy in 1981 was almost as screwed up as it is today.
I see the patterns as being a great deal like the early '80s especially because Obama has the same "teflon" quality as Reagan ; i.e. more personally popular than his policies. Also, the Dems were in the same disorganized state as the GOP today and just as tied to outdated ideas. There was a feeling that the party needed to return to the principles of FDR just as the GOP today believes that the party needs to return to the principles of Reagan. The Dems in the early '80s also had a wacko problem just like the GOP today.
So, if these patterns hold, 2010 looks to be like 1982 with the parties reversed. GOP capture of the Senate is very possible (although whoever controls the Senate will do so by a very slim margin) as more Dems will probably lose their seats than Republicans. At least 5 Dem incumbents are sure losers while only 2 GOP incumbents are sure losers and the GOP will hold on to its vacancies better
than the Dems.
As for the poll, it should have included Rudy Giuliani, as he's sure to win the gubernatorial race in NY in 2010 he'll almost assuredly be a candidate in 2012. Historically being governor of NY automatically makes someone a likely presidential candidate unless they don't want to be one, and Rudy definitely wants the nation's top job.
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