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Old 06-23-2010, 11:35 PM
 
Location: Chicago
15,586 posts, read 27,764,222 times
Reputation: 1761

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Mr. Paul must prevail.
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Old 08-19-2010, 11:06 AM
 
Location: Texas
37,955 posts, read 17,980,312 times
Reputation: 10397
Rand Pauls lead is up to 9 percent points. Another Randslide will occur since very little of the dirt against Jack Conway on his dealings and stock ownership with Kindred Morgan Energy has been publicized.
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Old 08-19-2010, 11:14 AM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 45,081,368 times
Reputation: 7118
RealClearPolitics - Election 2010 - Kentucky Senate - Paul vs. Conway

Avg is 8 points.
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Old 08-19-2010, 10:40 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,265 posts, read 19,585,292 times
Reputation: 5374
Quote:
Originally Posted by sanrene View Post
Average is now 5.5. 4.66 if you look at the three polls within the last week. Reuters +5 for Paul, Rasmussen +10 for Paul, Cn2/Braun Research (Princeton) Conway +1.
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Old 08-20-2010, 01:11 PM
 
Location: Texas
37,955 posts, read 17,980,312 times
Reputation: 10397
Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
Average is now 5.5. 4.66 if you look at the three polls within the last week. Reuters +5 for Paul, Rasmussen +10 for Paul, Cn2/Braun Research (Princeton) Conway +1.
You actually believe the Cn2/Braun poll showing Conway leading?
Statistical weights were designed from the United States Census Bureau statistics.
This is the same poll that had Paul up by nine, 40-31, two weeks before this one. 29 percent undecided???

FWIW - "Physician Rand Paul’s lead over Kentucky Attorney General Jack Conway, measured by the average of all polling on the race, went from 6.5 percent to 8.2 percent."

http://dailycaller.com/2010/08/20/mo...an-candidates/
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Old 08-20-2010, 09:23 PM
 
Location: Long Island (chief in S Farmingdale)
22,265 posts, read 19,585,292 times
Reputation: 5374
Quote:
Originally Posted by Loveshiscountry View Post
You actually believe the Cn2/Braun poll showing Conway leading?
Statistical weights were designed from the United States Census Bureau statistics.
This is the same poll that had Paul up by nine, 40-31, two weeks before this one. 29 percent undecided???

FWIW - "Physician Rand Paul’s lead over Kentucky Attorney General Jack Conway, measured by the average of all polling on the race, went from 6.5 percent to 8.2 percent."

Movement in Senate races largely favor Republican candidates | The Daily Caller - Breaking News, Opinion, Research, and Entertainment
They give a link to real clear politics when it mentions the 8.2%, Real Clear Politics shows 5.5%

RealClearPolitics - Election 2010 - Kentucky Senate - Paul vs. Conway
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Old 08-23-2010, 12:56 AM
 
Location: Texas
37,955 posts, read 17,980,312 times
Reputation: 10397
Quote:
Originally Posted by Smash255 View Post
They give a link to real clear politics when it mentions the 8.2%, Real Clear Politics shows 5.5%

RealClearPolitics - Election 2010 - Kentucky Senate - Paul vs. Conway
fwiw - just found some info saying the cn/2 changed the way they poll.

cn/2 latest poll: Paul and Conway tied
"Sampling for this study was conducted using a Kentucky RDD sample. All interviews were conducted using a computer assisted telephone interviewing system. Statistical weights were designed from
the United States Census Bureau statistics."

cn/2 poll from two weeks ago: Paul leading Conway by 9.3
"Sampling for this study was conducted using a Kentucky Voter List supplemented with a new registrant voter list per our in house statistician's recommendation. All interviews were conducted using a computer assisted telephone interviewing system. Statistical weights were designed from the United States Census Bureau statistics."
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Old 08-24-2010, 08:01 PM
 
Location: Texas
37,955 posts, read 17,980,312 times
Reputation: 10397
Conway discloses payments of $263,500 from Texas energy company : Bluegrass Politics

"WASHINGTON — Since 2009, Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Jack Conway has accepted $263,500 in stock distribution payments from Kinder Morgan Energy, a Texas-based pipeline company that transports natural gas and petroleum products. Attorney General Conway revealed a $157,500 payment in 2009 and a $106,000 payment in 2010 from Kinder Morgan on a mandatory financial disclosure form that he filed with the Secretary of the U.S. Senate on Aug. 12.
The report was due on May 17, but Conway requested and was granted an extension until mid-August.
“It is pretty sad to see Jack Conway lining his pockets with cash from a company made up of former Enron executives that lobby for Cap and Trade and against Kentucky Coal,” said Gary Howard, press secretary for Republican U.S. Senate nominee Rand Paul"

"During the run-up to the May 18 primary, Lt. Gov. Daniel Mongiardo filed a complaint against Conway with the state’s Executive Branch Ethics Commission that noted Conway’s ownership of up to $5 million of Kinder Morgan stock.

The complaint, which also noted contributions to Conway’s campaign from various utility companies, was later dismissed after the ethics panel concluded campaign contributions aren’t considered gifts under the ethics code. As a result, the commission did not have jurisdiction to consider the complaint, it said."
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Old 09-05-2010, 10:13 AM
 
Location: Chicagoland
41,325 posts, read 45,081,368 times
Reputation: 7118
Update;

Paul up by 15 in new poll that Conway campaign disputes | WHAS11.com | WHAS11.com Louisville Blogs | WHAS11.com | News for Louisville, Kentucky

Quote:
With just under two months until Kentucky's U.S. Senate election, a new WHAS11/Courier-Journal Bluegrass Poll shows Republican Rand Paul nearly doubling his lead in the last month, now up 15 points over Democrat Jack Conway, 55% to 40%. Since last month, Paul is up 4 points; Conway is down 3.
Nov 2 can't get here quick enough. There is always the possibility the GOP/RNC will screw it up somehow.
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Old 09-05-2010, 12:27 PM
 
Location: Raleigh, NC
20,054 posts, read 18,342,864 times
Reputation: 3827
15%? Pure and unadulterated pwnage. Of course, the opposition will just claim that KY is full of inbred hillbillies.
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