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Chicago, New Orleans and Pittsbirgh definitely will!
I think Birmingham, al may gain too because of its warm climate and relatively low cost of living.
I believe Detroit, Cleveland and Baltimore have all bottomed out and will post a gain of some kind in the next census. Cleveland in particular is undergoing a resurgence.
Oakland's small decline from the previous census was due to a rapid loss of African-Americans, at a time when the other ethnic groups were moving in. It's become an even more desirable place to live and should have its highest population number yet in 2020.
The rest of the cities will probably benefit from the continued trend of young people moving to the city, though there may be an exception for Toledo & Buffalo. Unfortunately I don't see much to attract anyone to those cities at this point, and the same will likely be true 8 years from now.
I can see New Orleans turning it around. A hurricane the magnitude of Katrina probably won't happen again for many years in the Gulf of Mexico. Of the cities listed, the ones in the South will likely turn around faster than those up north (though it would be nice if everyone did).
Location: Cleveland bound with MPLS in the rear-view
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Natural510
New Orleans will gain for obvious reasons.
I believe Detroit, Cleveland and Baltimore have all bottomed out and will post a gain of some kind in the next census. Cleveland in particular is undergoing a resurgence.
Oakland's small decline from the previous census was due to a rapid loss of African-Americans, at a time when the other ethnic groups were moving in. It's become an even more desirable place to live and should have its highest population number yet in 2020.
The rest of the cities will probably benefit from the continued trend of young people moving to the city, though there may be an exception for Toledo & Buffalo. Unfortunately I don't see much to attract anyone to those cities at this point, and the same will likely be true 8 years from now.
I agree with Oakland, from what I hear anyways! If we had to live in the Bay Area, I'd seriously start our search with Oakland and brach out from there.
Detroit will continue to post a decline at a rapid pace.
Cleveland will continue to decline.
New Orleans will grow, but slowly.
Cincinnati will remain stagnant.
All the other smaller rust belt cities will continue to decline.
Birmingham, eh, I never really gave it a second thought.
I think this a realistic, though bleak, assessment.
We all cheer for Detroit and New Orleans, but the facts prevent any real great improvement. Detroit may lose population at a lower rate than the past 30 years, but it will still lose. New Orleans will gain population, but won't get back to the pre-Katrina levels for another decade or more.
I can see Chicago, New Orleans, and especially Pittsburgh to have population gains.
If the auto industry continues to do well, I think Detroit will rebound also. If Romney becomes elected, I think Detroit won't. After all, he voted against the auto industry bailout for his own hometown!
Chicago already had a decade where it gained since the 1950 census when itS population peaked (the 1990s), so there's no reason why it can't again, especially if and when the government play their cards better, and of anf when the economy improves.
Pittsburgh has been getting good buzz lately and this decade might be the time when the good buzz spills into the population figures. New Orleans will also go up as more of the Katrina transplants make their way back...
I feel kinda sorry for Detroit and Buffalo though!
Chicago and New Orleans are experiencing GROWTH according to the latest estimates.
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