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What do you think? I think it's possible since pretty much the only desirable area that people want to move to in NYC is Manhattan and there is no more room for Manhattan to grow in population. LA has a lot of room to expand it's downtown area by using emminent domain on those crappy poor cheap homes near DT LA. If we can get more density in LA, we can definitely surpass NYC in a decade or two.
Actually the majority of NYC's population growth during the 90's occurred in the outer, "non-desirable" boroughs and not in Manhattan. But even Manhattan's population increased modestly during the 80's and 90's and has continued to do so since 2000.
In order to surpass NYC, LA would have to add approximately 4,500,000 people in "a decade or two". More density in LA is not going to add that many people that quickly. Annexation could add a significant number, but I don't think LA has annexed much in the last 50 years. A city/county merger, Louisville-style, would put it above NYC for sure, but I don't see that happening any time soon.
LA may very well surpass NYC in the future, but it will be several decades down the road, not one or two.
What do you think? I think it's possible since pretty much the only desirable area that people want to move to in NYC is Manhattan and there is no more room for Manhattan to grow in population.
You obviously don't know what you are saying! Long Island is a place that is very desirable around NYC, and lots of room for growth. Same with Westchester County, NY (one of the wealthiest counties in the country), but mostly small towns. Southern Connecticut also has lots of room for growth since it is mainly small towns with a few larger cities like Stamford. Staten Island is also growing fast. Most people that work in NYC do not live in Manhattan.
I don't think Los Angeles will surpass New York in regards to the actual city's population. I do think however that in around 20-30 years, the metro area's population will surpass New York's.
NYC is expected to add another million people (increasing the population from 8 mil to 9 mil) within the next 20-30 years.
The density of housing is increasing throughout NYC. Ares that previously were sparsely populated are being built up (Staten Island for example). Areas that were already quite heavily populated are becoming even more densely populated (Queens is the best example of this, but it is also occuring in Brooklyn and the Bronx). This is generally accomplished by knocking down a single family home and building a multi-family home that can house 4-6 families in its place.
I don't think Los Angeles will surpass New York in regards to the actual city's population. I do think however that in around 20-30 years, the metro area's population will surpass New York's.
I agree, unless the U.S. Census decides to declare the whole state of NJ and half of PA as part of the NY metro area.
Ya. I find it funny that NYC Metro is sometimes considered part of 3 different states (NJ,NY, and CT). I don't know if that's true, but I read somwhere that some stastics include those areas. In LA, we keep it all in one state and almost half in one county.
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