15 Largest US Cities 2050? (crime, neighborhoods, shop)

[Russbosma]

Originally Posted by NigerianNightmare

"Water strapped"-No, just no maybe Phoenix but not being able to water your lawn isn't water strapped, and if your talking about global warming the world only increased like what, 1 degree on average over like 50 something years, I may be completely wrong but with all the go green go clean stuff now I think global warming will be stopped by then, maybe I'm just being optimistic, but what they teach us in school is like almost every subject has it's own going green unit.

I am almost 100% sure he is doing it by city population that is why Jacksonville is on this list.

In my opinion this is how it is going to be by 2050. MY predictions may be way off but whatever. Also by 2050 U.S fertility rate should be below 2.1 or slightly above which is replacement level and now only immigrants will increase city populations.
1. New York-9,700,000-10,300,000- (10,300,000) It is going to start becoming more and more dense in Staten Island.

Manhattan- 1,900,000 will basically cap off as I don't see them demolishing historic buildings here.

Brooklyn- 2,900,000 Brooklyn will start to cap off and start to look more and more like Manhattan.

Queens- 2,800,000 Because of the density increases all around Queens will start to catch up on Brooklyn by then as it becomes harder to fit people.
Bronx- 1,700,000
Staten Island- 1,000,000

2. Los Angeles- 4,000,000-4,500,000(4,400,000) Mostly just increasing in density.

3. Houston - 2,900,000 up to 4,000,000 (2,900,000) (Not saying Houston will annex everything just saying it is currently about 4 million but with the increase they may annex areas that currently have 400,000 people now but might increase all the way to 4,000,000 people in total by 2050) because their is an exponentially small chance that Houston may annex a large portion of Harris County (Only if the areas demographics changed to predominantly Democrats and if the democratic areas became wealthier (Alief and SW Houston+ other areas)- Here is a great thread about it from a couple years ago. Look at Houston's ETJ map- //www.city-data.com/forum/houst...ton-bully.html

4. Chicago- 2,800,000-3,000,000-(2,900,000)
I see most inner cities in The U.S making a comeback so I expect Chicago to start to slowly increase in population by this year (2050).
5. Phoenix- 2,300,000
6. San Antonio- 2,100,000
7. Philadelphia- 1,700,000-2,000,000 Same as Chicago
8. San Diego- 1,700,000
9. Austin- 1,600,000
10. Dallas- 1,500,000- Dallas gets overtaken by Austin, due to Dallas's enormous suburbs taking more people in.
11. San Jose- 1,400,000
12. Fort Worth- 1,300,000
13. Charlotte- 1,200,000
14. San Francisco-1,000,000
15. Seattle- 1,000,000
16. Indianapolis- 1,000,000
17. Columbus- 1,000,000
18. Denver- 1,000,000
19. Jacksonville- 1,000,000
20. El Paso- 1,000,000

These numbers are at least plausible, which the OP's are not.

[Spade]

Originally Posted by atadytic19

For real!

DE annex all of Acres Homes, the non commercial regions of the east side and most of the south side.

Keep the western half of the inner loop, plus UH, uptown, the area south of the villages to Belfort between the beltway and 610. Then keep the area around the ship channel and the airport.

That comes out to what? 150 sq miles?

The inner loop is 90 sq miles, so the western half should be about 50 sq miles. Then it's about 8 miles from uptown to the beltway and about 9 miles from the villages to Belfort. So that's what, another 72?

I think Houston would drop to about 1.6M people, but it would also drop 400 sq miles

I say keep all of the loop, uptown, the airports, and ship channel. I think Houstom would have about 750k but it's far more manageable.

[projectmaximus]

I don't know enough about other cities' situations, but I'll guess that Jax will be around 1.3-1.4 million assuming no change in city limits. And I'll put the metro at 2.4-2.6 million.

[dude1984]

Who are the 3 people that voted this is possible? I think Houston will probably pass Chicago, but that is about it. That really doesn't matter though because suburban Chicago is where the growth is and the Chicago metro area will continue to be much larger than the Houston metro area. The growth is going to be in the suburbs for metro areas.

[grega94]

The only way that such rapid growth could occur is if:

the said cities annex a large portion of the suburbs

there is some kind of new MAJOR trend where everyone moves out of the suburbs and moves into the the central city

there is a huge population boom along with a huge influx of rich immigrants that are attracted in living in central city.

otherwise the growth is way too fast for 35 years, may be reasonable for 2100?

[NigerianNightmare]

Does anyone else have predictions besides the Op and mines?

[JoeTarheel]

Originally Posted by NigerianNightmare

Does anyone else have predictions besides the Op and mines?

Any city can get on that list if it expands its boundaries enough. City-limits populations are meaningless and are terrible representations of the actual size of a city. There are notable large cities excluded from your list like Boston, Miami, Atlanta, etc. but included are Jacksonville and El Paso. That is a good example of why city population rankings should be by MSA or Urban Area.

[Matthew Duck]

None of that will happen. And to be honest, I think it would be fine if a lot of those cities stayed put where they are in terms of population. Whether the water supply is strained, or there simply isn't enough room and every new apartment building would have to be the new largest building in the world, there's just no way.

[swaccmac]

the real measure of population is metropolitan area size as a city is just the core of a general area.By this standard your top ten will be in this order
New York City 24000000
los Angelos 18000000
Dallas 10500000
Chicago 9500000
Houston 87000000
Washington DC 8500000
Atlanta 8000000
Miami 7500000
Philadelphia 68000000
Phoenix 62000000

[Thoreau424]

All 500,000 more to each city and I'll say "yeah" Wow, this like a bad dream, or is it? Everybody now needs quit work, and spend time fraterizin' and gettin' it on. Got to get those babies out into the big cities.