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View Poll Results: Possible?
Yes 20 13.70%
No 126 86.30%
Voters: 146. You may not vote on this poll

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Old 07-10-2015, 01:22 PM
 
Location: Eaton, CO
139 posts, read 197,081 times
Reputation: 143

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Here is my list for the 15 largest US cities in 2050.

1. New York, NY- 15,600,000
2. Los Angeles, CA- 13,250,000
3. Phoenix, AZ- 9,800,000
4. Houston, TX- 8,750,000
5. San Antonio, TX- 7,900,000
6. Chicago, IL- 6,300,000
7. Philadelphia, PA- 6,250,000
8. Austin, TX- 4,200,000
9. San Diego, CA- 3,900,000
10. Fort Worth, TX- 3,670,000
11. Dallas, TX- 3,550,000
12. San Jose, CA- 2,900,000
13. Jacksonville, FL- 2,870,000
14. Charlotte, NC- 2,300,000
15. Denver, CO- 1,900,000

Please vote on whether this seems possible by 2050 or not! Feel free to post your 15 largest US cities in 2050 also!
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Old 07-10-2015, 02:02 PM
 
24,032 posts, read 37,526,929 times
Reputation: 24852
I'm baffled by your numbers. The NYC metro is going to lose 25% of it's population despite growing at a 2% clip now and water strapped LA/Phoenix/Houston/Austin/San Antonio/San Diego/Ft Worth are gaining such massive numbers...how is that going to be sustainable?
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Old 07-10-2015, 02:49 PM
 
Location: South Beach and DT Raleigh
13,493 posts, read 21,923,164 times
Reputation: 13601
Everyone of those projections is way off base. You do realize that 2050 is only 35 years away, right?
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Old 07-10-2015, 03:01 PM
 
Location: Eaton, CO
139 posts, read 197,081 times
Reputation: 143
Quote:
Originally Posted by kyle19125 View Post
I'm baffled by your numbers. The NYC metro is going to lose 25% of it's population despite growing at a 2% clip now and water strapped LA/Phoenix/Houston/Austin/San Antonio/San Diego/Ft Worth are gaining such massive numbers...how is that going to be sustainable?
So, you are telling me that by 2050, the NYC Metro Area will have 15,000,000 residents (compared to about 20,000,000 today). And Los Angeles and San Diego are growing slowly compared to other cities (Houston/Austin/San Antonio/Phoenix). New York City itself is growing rapidly right now.

New York City:

2014: 8,500,000
2013: 8,400,000
2010: 8,175,000
2000: 8,015,000
1990: 7,320,000

Los Angeles:

2014: 3,930,000
2013: 3,885,000
2010: 3,800,000
2000: 3,700,000
1990: 3,485,000

San Diego:

2014: 1,380,000
2013: 1,350,000
2010: 1,310,000
2000: 1,220,000
1990: 1,110,000

I doubt in 35 years that Los Angeles will overtake New York.
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Old 07-10-2015, 03:13 PM
 
Location: USA
2,753 posts, read 2,847,513 times
Reputation: 2171
NYC will not hit 15,000,000. That's crazy to be honest. Can you imagine NYC population density to be nearly 60,000 per square mile? That's insanity. I can't imagine NYC doubling its population within 35 years. Same goes with Chicago and Denver. Your numbers look way to high to be realistic.

Also just a heads up...just because a city is rapidly growing now doesn't mean it will grow constantly for 35 years. I highly doubt LA will continue grow by large numbers. It will eventually slow down but there will be slower growth in the future. I don't think LA's future will look as good as many people think.
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Old 07-10-2015, 03:55 PM
 
Location: Katy,Texas
5,765 posts, read 3,028,203 times
Reputation: 3816
"Water strapped"-No, just no maybe Phoenix but not being able to water your lawn isn't water strapped, and if your talking about global warming the world only increased like what, 1 degree on average over like 50 something years, I may be completely wrong but with all the go green go clean stuff now I think global warming will be stopped by then, maybe I'm just being optimistic, but what they teach us in school is like almost every subject has it's own going green unit.

I am almost 100% sure he is doing it by city population that is why Jacksonville is on this list.

In my opinion this is how it is going to be by 2050. MY predictions may be way off but whatever. Also by 2050 U.S fertility rate should be below 2.1 or slightly above which is replacement level and now only immigrants will increase city populations.
1. New York-9,700,000-10,300,000- (10,300,000) It is going to start becoming more and more dense in Staten Island.

Manhattan- 1,900,000 will basically cap off as I don't see them demolishing historic buildings here.

Brooklyn- 2,900,000 Brooklyn will start to cap off and start to look more and more like Manhattan.

Queens- 2,800,000 Because of the density increases all around Queens will start to catch up on Brooklyn by then as it becomes harder to fit people.
Bronx- 1,700,000
Staten Island- 1,000,000

2. Los Angeles- 4,000,000-4,500,000(4,400,000) Mostly just increasing in density.

3. Houston - 2,900,000 up to 4,000,000 (2,900,000) (Not saying Houston will annex everything just saying it is currently about 4 million but with the increase they may annex areas that currently have 400,000 people now but might increase all the way to 4,000,000 people in total by 2050) because their is an exponentially small chance that Houston may annex a large portion of Harris County (Only if the areas demographics changed to predominantly Democrats and if the democratic areas became wealthier (Alief and SW Houston+ other areas)- Here is a great thread about it from a couple years ago. Look at Houston's ETJ map- //www.city-data.com/forum/houst...ton-bully.html

4. Chicago- 2,800,000-3,000,000-(2,900,000)
I see most inner cities in The U.S making a comeback so I expect Chicago to start to slowly increase in population by this year (2050).
5. Phoenix- 2,300,000
6. San Antonio- 2,100,000
7. Philadelphia- 1,700,000-2,000,000 Same as Chicago
8. San Diego- 1,700,000
9. Austin- 1,600,000
10. Dallas- 1,500,000- Dallas gets overtaken by Austin, due to Dallas's enormous suburbs taking more people in.
11. San Jose- 1,400,000
12. Fort Worth- 1,300,000
13. Charlotte- 1,200,000
14. San Francisco-1,000,000
15. Seattle- 1,000,000
16. Indianapolis- 1,000,000
17. Columbus- 1,000,000
18. Denver- 1,000,000
19. Jacksonville- 1,000,000
20. El Paso- 1,000,000
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Old 07-10-2015, 04:29 PM
 
Location: Washington D.C. By way of Texas
19,999 posts, read 30,684,694 times
Reputation: 11344
I hope Houston doesn't annex more land. I wish it could de-annex some of it's land.
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Old 07-10-2015, 06:54 PM
 
Location: Twin Cities (StP)
3,051 posts, read 2,310,395 times
Reputation: 2409
Dude those numbers are out of this world. 2050 isn't THAT far away.
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Old 07-10-2015, 06:55 PM
 
2,069 posts, read 1,156,171 times
Reputation: 2427
Quote:
Originally Posted by Spade View Post
I hope Houston doesn't annex more land. I wish it could de-annex some of it's land.
For real!

DE annex all of Acres Homes, the non commercial regions of the east side and most of the south side.

Keep the western half of the inner loop, plus UH, uptown, the area south of the villages to Belfort between the beltway and 610. Then keep the area around the ship channel and the airport.

That comes out to what? 150 sq miles?

The inner loop is 90 sq miles, so the western half should be about 50 sq miles. Then it's about 8 miles from uptown to the beltway and about 9 miles from the villages to Belfort. So that's what, another 72?

I think Houston would drop to about 1.6M people, but it would also drop 400 sq miles
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Old 07-10-2015, 06:59 PM
 
Location: Katy,Texas
5,765 posts, read 3,028,203 times
Reputation: 3816
And I wish were I live would get Incorporated, but I know that wish may never come true.
#IncorporateHoustonSuburbs2015
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