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Greenville SC will see rediculous population growth and the woodruff road connector will have done nothing to keep up with 2030 population.
Jacksonville proper will grow probably to 1.5 million by 2030. Jacksonville has such a large area where it can have the population of NYC and still have room for growth. Jacksonville is a pretty conservative city so it'll take a long time before it reaches its full potential but being a major city in Florida, having access to two of the biggest interstates (i-95 and i-10) in the US, and it being a port-city gives it a huge advantage over a lot of cities. Jacksonville shows that it can be a viable city to live but it just going to take some time to improve.
I'll do DC & Baltimore because economically they affect each other wether you like it or not (a blight in different ways)
DC will finish most of its large scale developments and probably start plateauing in population around 800-850k due to space constraints and CoL rivaling SF & NYC in the city core. DC's metro will probably ballon to 7 million as residents are priced out of the city and flood the suburbs further cushioned by its public transportation projects being complete at that point.
Baltimore will be undergoing a even more drastic change demographic/economic change. By this point I'd imagine the population will start to gradually rise again to pre 2010 levels, but the tax base will resemble DC. Large infill projects and massive redevelopments in dystopian neighborhoods will lead to substantially more tech/government jobs (i.e Port Covington) further making self sustaining growth. Baltimore's metro will be well north of 3 million as it absorbs residents priced out of DC and it grows it's own tech/medical industry.
In regards to infastructure.. by 2030 the North Corridor is supposed to be rebuilt for the new-gen Acela's to compete with the airline companies so rail in both cities will be substantially more emphasized as traffic will be even more congested in the metros. Dulles, Reagan & BWI airports will continue to grow (BWI will probably need a 3rd runaway at this point). Baltimore's Helen Delich Bentley Port/Trade Point Atlantic will balloon into the largest distribution hub overtaking NJ-NY port due to location advantage w/ the rebuilding of the Howard Street Tunnel.
I still don't see them becoming one integrated metro until at least 2040.
Chicago's outer-suburban counties will decline in population as the generations that like that kind of living will be dying out (or moving out to WI/IN or AZ/FL). Cook County might start ticking up again, as the black outflow decelerates and Chicago becomes an increasingly attractive, affordable alternative to NYC/SF/Seattle/LA/DC.
We might see a couple new light rail/streetcar lines (separate from the L) in core North Side neighborhoods to serve the yuppie/hipster population that's too cool to ride the bus.
Chicago's Asian population will get to at least half of its black population.
Chicago's MSA will probably not merge with adjoining ones like Milwaukee, Rockford, and South Bend. There's just too much undeveloped land in between and not enough incentive to develop it.
Chicago's outer-suburban counties will decline in population as the generations that like that kind of living will be dying out (or moving out to WI/IN or AZ/FL). Cook County might start ticking up again, as the black outflow decelerates and Chicago becomes an increasingly attractive, affordable alternative to NYC/SF/Seattle/LA/DC.
We might see a couple new light rail/streetcar lines (separate from the L) in core North Side neighborhoods to serve the yuppie/hipster population that's too cool to ride the bus.
Chicago's Asian population will get to at least half of its black population.
Chicago's MSA will probably not merge with adjoining ones like Milwaukee, Rockford, and South Bend. There's just too much undeveloped land in between and not enough incentive to develop it.
The only realistic post I've seen. Everyone else seems to have quite a rosy view. Kudos to mentioning positives and negatives.
Location: That star on your map in the middle of the East Coast, DMV
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheTimidBlueBars
Chicago's outer-suburban counties will decline in population as the generations that like that kind of living will be dying out (or moving out to WI/IN or AZ/FL). Cook County might start ticking up again, as the black outflow decelerates and Chicago becomes an increasingly attractive, affordable alternative to NYC/SF/Seattle/LA/DC.
We might see a couple new light rail/streetcar lines (separate from the L) in core North Side neighborhoods to serve the yuppie/hipster population that's too cool to ride the bus.
Chicago's Asian population will get to at least half of its black population.
Chicago's MSA will probably not merge with adjoining ones like Milwaukee, Rockford, and South Bend. There's just too much undeveloped land in between and not enough incentive to develop it.
Friend of mine just moved to Chicago from Maryland a month or so ago. She's in love with it, def a great alternative to the coastal cities, and it will continue to be attractive IMO. Overall mostly agreed with your post. As a metro, i think weather and other factors will tame it's overall growth, but the city and Cook County overall could still see infill in key areas.
My guess is around 2.6-2.7 million people. Slight increase as infill starts to accelerate due to people not wanting to live past Conroe. Brazoria County will become the third major suburban county as Galveston County continues to get left behind development wise. Waller might hit 100,000, Liberty 100,000. Galveston 400,000. Fort Bend- 1,000,000. Montgomery- 800,000. Brazoria- 500,000.
The decade will see South and Coastal Brazoria become a increasingly popular destination as TMC and other businesses start to bring developments south. Theirs no real reason why sprawl goes all the way to Conroe northward but essentially stops at Pearland directly South yet is soon going to reach Galveston to the SE. Unlike East Houston, South Houston while it has some pretty awful areas crime wise doesn’t have the industrial issues. Alvin to Downtown Houston is the same as Katy to Downtown Houston or The Woodlands for example.
San Diego will grow to around 1.6 million people. San Diego's population growth is actually quite robust. At the current pace, the decade 2010-2020 will have the third largest numerical gain in population in SD's history (only behind the '50s and '80s--interestingly, every 30 years).
Due to the area's desirability, the City of San Diego maintains pretty steady growth throughout market cycles. During a recession, hordes of people move here to snatch up the cheaper homes (SD had net positive domestic migration post-recession). Even during the current housing crisis and slow-down in housing production, San Diego still had the 8th largest numerical increase in population in 2018.
The city is approaching full build-out, with the last major green field development wrapping up as we speak. Moving forward it's primarily urban infill and redevelopment projects at higher densities. The city has recently revised multiple community plans to accept this growth (source):
Up to 50,000 more residents in Mission Valley
Up to 22,000 more residents in the Midway district
Up to 14,000 more residents in Grantville
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