Quote:
Originally Posted by kyle19125
Despite the obvious hazards to the kid themselves, teachers and other school personnel? Not to mention the carrier aspect of infected children.
|
There are hazards every single day in every scenario, there is no zero risk situation. So families and schools are left with comparing the COVID risk (outlined below) with the risk of isolation, missed learning, and routine.
Total death rate based on positive tests = 2%
Actual Covid cases are estimated to be 6X - 24X based on CDC estimates. The general number I’ve seen is 10X which puts the death rate at 0.2%.
Demographics:
Deaths < 25 (no chronic condition) = 0% Total deaths
Deaths 25-<45 ( no chronic condition) = 1% Total Deaths
Deaths 45 - <65 (no chronic condition) = 3.3% total deaths
Age > 65 accounts for 77% of deaths.
This is just % of total deaths. If we look at % total Covid cases these numbers become extremely small (0% under 25). I understand that every data point is a human life. I wish no one would suffer but this just isn’t reality in a pandemic, or life. Education and people’s livelihood are extremely important and decisions should be based on data and risk.
To me these numbers welcome the discussion for face to face learning. The data just doesn’t support the “we are all going to die” attitude that is prevalent in the news and on social media.
Please register to participate in our discussions with 2 million other members - it's free and quick! Some forums can only be seen by registered members. After you create your account, you'll be able to customize options and access all our 15,000 new posts/day with fewer ads.
