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Old 12-15-2020, 02:20 PM
 
Location: Brooklyn, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CosmicAries View Post
Texas will be much higher than that in 10 years. The state is already at or near the 30 million mark and by 2030 I would say the state population would be somewhere around 34 - 35 million.
Texas is at 28,995,881 according to 2019 estimates.

In 10 years, if it adds another 3 million, it will be at 32 million, roughly. It may add another 4 million, so 33 million or so...from 2010 to 2019, it added 3.8, so I might've underestimated by a bit.
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Old 12-15-2020, 02:26 PM
 
Location: Boilermaker Territory
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The projections are going to be for too much growth in percentage terms in a lot of states over the next few decades. Growth is slowing way down, population is aging much faster, and birth rates are also still declining- combined with less immigration in many areas.
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Old 12-15-2020, 03:06 PM
 
Location: Washington D.C. By way of Texas
20,515 posts, read 33,531,365 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jjbradleynyc View Post
Texas is at 28,995,881 according to 2019 estimates.

In 10 years, if it adds another 3 million, it will be at 32 million, roughly. It may add another 4 million, so 33 million or so...from 2010 to 2019, it added 3.8, so I might've underestimated by a bit.
I think 33 million is a safe bet by 2030. The population increased by 3.8 million in the 90s and 4.2 million in the 00s. Texas has, according to the 2019 estimate, increased by 3.8 million again since the 2010 census. Around 3.8 to 4 million would be a safe bet.
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Old 12-15-2020, 03:25 PM
 
Location: Unknown
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GraniteStater View Post
The projections are going to be for too much growth in percentage terms in a lot of states over the next few decades. Growth is slowing way down, population is aging much faster, and birth rates are also still declining- combined with less immigration in many areas.
I have to wonder will this change after the pandemic? Covid has accelerated the death rate for those who are elderly and have underlying issues. Will we start to see another baby boom in the near future?
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Old 12-15-2020, 03:32 PM
 
Location: Unknown
570 posts, read 560,053 times
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jjbradleynyc View Post
Texas is at 28,995,881 according to 2019 estimates.

In 10 years, if it adds another 3 million, it will be at 32 million, roughly. It may add another 4 million, so 33 million or so...from 2010 to 2019, it added 3.8, so I might've underestimated by a bit.
I would say around another 4 million if not more as growth in Texas will continue to accelerate with people leaving high tax states like California, New York and Illinois.
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Old 12-16-2020, 01:26 PM
 
Location: Brooklyn, NY
10,062 posts, read 14,434,667 times
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An interesting side note, these 4 states are the only ones that lost population from 2010 to 2019:


Connecticut 3,565,287 (2019) 3,574,097 (2010) –0.2%

Vermont 623,989 (2019) 625,741 (2010) –0.3%

Illinois 12,671,821 (2019) 12,830,632 (2010) –1.2%

West Virginia 1,792,147 (2019) 1,852,994 (2010) –3.3%


I think Illinois will continue to lose large amounts of folks, unfortunately, due to their dire tax and pension situation.
New York and Pennsylvania are close to having negative gain numbers too, so those are ones to watch in the next decade.

Last edited by jjbradleynyc; 12-16-2020 at 01:40 PM..
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